Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa

dc.contributor.advisorAnsorge, Isabel
dc.contributor.advisorSithole, George
dc.contributor.authorTaukoor, Sheveenah Sunnassee
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-11T13:11:01Z
dc.date.available2019-02-11T13:11:01Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.date.updated2019-02-11T11:47:28Z
dc.description.abstractSea level rise is highly interdisciplinary and its study entails not only oceanography, but other fields such as geomatics, climatology and geology. In this study we relied on the tools from geomatics to produce sea level rise maps in order to assess the vulnerability of the coastline of Cape Town, South Africa. After generating a DEM of a spatial resolution of 2 m from LiDAR point cloud data, we made use of GIS to design 4 sea level rise scenarios based on the RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5 scenarios from the IPCC. Among the findings, it was found that 2.16 – 3.09 km² of land would be potentially inundated by 2100. The main receptors which were identified were sandy beaches, rocky shores and built-up land. Permanent inundation would possibly change the appeal and the nature of the beaches and affect the tourism industry. Hence the coastline requires immediate attention as it is one of the most valuable assets in the tourism industry. Tidal effect and storm surge effect were also identified as additional factors which brought temporary changes to the sea level in Cape Town. These impacts were further investigated in 8 coastal suburbs (Tableview, Woodbridge Island, Paarden Eiland, Foreshore, Sea Point, Glencairn, Fish Hoek and Strand.) Suitable adaptation strategies including hard protection measures (e.g groynes, sea walls, barriers) and soft protection measures (e.g beach nourishment) were also proposed for these 8 suburbs.
dc.identifier.apacitationTaukoor, S. S. (2018). <i>Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa</i>. (). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29466en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationTaukoor, Sheveenah Sunnassee. <i>"Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa."</i> ., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29466en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationTaukoor, S. 2018. Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Taukoor, Sheveenah Sunnassee AB - Sea level rise is highly interdisciplinary and its study entails not only oceanography, but other fields such as geomatics, climatology and geology. In this study we relied on the tools from geomatics to produce sea level rise maps in order to assess the vulnerability of the coastline of Cape Town, South Africa. After generating a DEM of a spatial resolution of 2 m from LiDAR point cloud data, we made use of GIS to design 4 sea level rise scenarios based on the RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5 scenarios from the IPCC. Among the findings, it was found that 2.16 – 3.09 km² of land would be potentially inundated by 2100. The main receptors which were identified were sandy beaches, rocky shores and built-up land. Permanent inundation would possibly change the appeal and the nature of the beaches and affect the tourism industry. Hence the coastline requires immediate attention as it is one of the most valuable assets in the tourism industry. Tidal effect and storm surge effect were also identified as additional factors which brought temporary changes to the sea level in Cape Town. These impacts were further investigated in 8 coastal suburbs (Tableview, Woodbridge Island, Paarden Eiland, Foreshore, Sea Point, Glencairn, Fish Hoek and Strand.) Suitable adaptation strategies including hard protection measures (e.g groynes, sea walls, barriers) and soft protection measures (e.g beach nourishment) were also proposed for these 8 suburbs. DA - 2018 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2018 T1 - Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa TI - Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29466 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/29466
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationTaukoor SS. Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa. []. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography, 2018 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29466en_ZA
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Oceanography
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Science
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherOceanography
dc.titleMultiple scenario analyses forecasting the impacts of sea level rise in Cape Town, South Africa
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMSc
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