Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape

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dc.contributor.advisorTadross, Marken_ZA
dc.contributor.authorWallace, Michaelen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2014-07-31T08:02:37Z
dc.date.available2014-07-31T08:02:37Z
dc.date.issued2013en_ZA
dc.descriptionIncludes abstract.
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references.
dc.description.abstractClimate change is evident in the Western Cape province of South Africa, particularly in observed trends in average temperatures. Further increases are expected in the future, based on General Circulation Model (GCM) projections, as highlighted in the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 4th (and previous) assessment reports. Whilst it is recognised that rises in temperature coupled with changes in rainfall will impact wheat yields (the province’s dominant field crop), little information exists to guide adaptation planning, especially on the potential range of climate change impacts on dryland winter wheat production. Furthermore the Western Cape is a highly diverse region with regard to geology, soils, topography, climatic influences and agricultural systems. Future climate change therefore, is likely to have different impacts in different zones of the province where wheat is produced. To address this heterogeneity, the APSIM crop model was applied to assess future climate impacts on wheat in 21 relatively homogeneous farming areas (RHFAs) across the province.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationWallace, M. (2013). <i>Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape</i>. (Thesis). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Environmental and Geographical Science. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/4816en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationWallace, Michael. <i>"Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape."</i> Thesis., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Environmental and Geographical Science, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/4816en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationWallace, M. 2013. Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Wallace, Michael AB - Climate change is evident in the Western Cape province of South Africa, particularly in observed trends in average temperatures. Further increases are expected in the future, based on General Circulation Model (GCM) projections, as highlighted in the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 4th (and previous) assessment reports. Whilst it is recognised that rises in temperature coupled with changes in rainfall will impact wheat yields (the province’s dominant field crop), little information exists to guide adaptation planning, especially on the potential range of climate change impacts on dryland winter wheat production. Furthermore the Western Cape is a highly diverse region with regard to geology, soils, topography, climatic influences and agricultural systems. Future climate change therefore, is likely to have different impacts in different zones of the province where wheat is produced. To address this heterogeneity, the APSIM crop model was applied to assess future climate impacts on wheat in 21 relatively homogeneous farming areas (RHFAs) across the province. DA - 2013 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2013 T1 - Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape TI - Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/4816 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/4816
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationWallace M. Modelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Cape. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Environmental and Geographical Science, 2013 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/4816en_ZA
dc.language.isoengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Environmental and Geographical Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherEnvironmental and Geographical Scienceen_ZA
dc.titleModelling the impact of future climate change on subregional wheat production in the Western Capeen_ZA
dc.typeDoctoral Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelDoctoral
dc.type.qualificationnamePhDen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceThesisen_ZA
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