A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture

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dc.contributor.authorVan Vuuren, Detlef P
dc.contributor.authorKriegler, Elmar
dc.contributor.authorO’Neill, Brian C
dc.contributor.authorEbi, Kristie L
dc.contributor.authorRiahi, Keywan
dc.contributor.authorCarter, Timothy R
dc.contributor.authorEdmonds, Jae
dc.contributor.authorHallegatte, Stephane
dc.contributor.authorKram, Tom
dc.contributor.authorMathur, Ritu
dc.contributor.authorWinkler, Harald
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-08T12:30:11Z
dc.date.available2016-02-08T12:30:11Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.date.updated2016-02-04T09:45:49Z
dc.description.abstractThis paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue.en_ZA
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1
dc.identifier.apacitationVan Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., , Ebi, K. L., Riahi, K., Carter, T. R., ... Winkler, H. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture. <i>Climatic Change</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16900en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationVan Vuuren, Detlef P, Elmar Kriegler, , Kristie L Ebi, Keywan Riahi, Timothy R Carter, Jae Edmonds, et al "A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture." <i>Climatic Change</i> (2014) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16900en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationVan Vuuren, D., Kriegler, E., O'Neill, B., Ebi, K., Riahi, K., Carter, T., Edmonds, J., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Mathur, R. & Winkler, H. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture. Climatic Change, 122(3), 373-386. DOI 10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Van Vuuren, Detlef P AU - Kriegler, Elmar AU - O’Neill, Brian C AU - Ebi, Kristie L AU - Riahi, Keywan AU - Carter, Timothy R AU - Edmonds, Jae AU - Hallegatte, Stephane AU - Kram, Tom AU - Mathur, Ritu AU - Winkler, Harald AB - This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue. DA - 2014 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town J1 - Climatic Change LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2014 SM - 0165-0009 T1 - A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture TI - A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16900 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/16900
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationVan Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, , Ebi KL, Riahi K, Carter TR, et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architecture. Climatic Change. 2014; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16900.en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherSpringeren_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentEnergy Research Centreen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Engineering and the Built Environment
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.sourceClimatic Changeen_ZA
dc.source.urihttp://link.springer.com/journal/10584
dc.subject.otherCarbon taxes
dc.subject.otherGreenhouse gas mitigation
dc.subject.otherEnergy policy
dc.titleA new scenario framework for climate change research: scenario matrix architectureen_ZA
dc.typeJournal Articleen_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsscenario frameworken_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsscenario matrix architectureen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceArticleen_ZA
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