Browsing by Author "Burton, Jesse"

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    Draft Technical analysis to inform the development of the mitigation component of South Africa’s second NDC
    (Energy Systems Research Group, 2025-08-27) Marquard, Andrew; McCall, Bryce; Caetano, Tara; Burton, Jesse; Stevens, Luanne; Ireland, Gregory; Keen, Samantha; Winkler, Harald; Merven, Bruno; Tatham, Julia; Cunliffe, Guy; von Blottnitz, Harro; Jooste Upadhyaya, Meagan; Nosrati-Ghods, Nosaibeh; Gogela, Usisipho; de Kock, Savanha; Hughes, Alison; Gabin, Matthew; Masenda, Joseph
    This technical analysis has the primary objective of supporting the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment (DFFE) in its development of the mitigation component of South Africa’s second NDC. The mitigation analysis is part of a broader set of analyses to support the NDC, including work on adaptation and loss and damage (undertaken by the African Climate and Development Initiative (ACDI)) at the University of Cape Town (UCT), and work on support requirements / provision by SouthSouthNorth (SSN). The analysis has been primarily undertaken by the Energy Systems Research Group (ESRG) at UCT, with contributions from PRISM at UCT, the CSIR, and CRSES at the University of Stellenbosch. The goal of the analysis is to assess the following: South Africa’s international obligations with regard to the Paris Agreement; An assessment of what national mitigation contribution up to 2035 would constitute South Africa’s “fair share”; An assessment of the GHG emissions implications in 2035 of current mitigation and/or mitigation policies and plans; An assessment of what additional measures would be required to achieve additional mitigation outcomes in 2035; Additional analysis of the implementation requirements and just transition requirements for a representative GHG emissions outcome in 2035; Additional analysis on the impact of specific GHG emissions pathways on local air pollution; and Additional assessment of the reliability and GHG emissions outcome of electricity systems modelled in SATIMGE for specific GHG outcomes using other modelling frameworks; These are DRAFT results.
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    A political economy analysis of liquid fuel production incentives in South Africa
    (2017) Lott, Tawney; Rennkamp, Britta; Burton, Jesse
    The purpose of this study is to analyse the development of South Africa's liquid fuels industry from 1930s to the present and the various ways in which the state has extended subsidies and other measures of support to liquid fuels producers. The nature and extent of government support to the South African liquid fuels industry has remained hidden for many years, due to the veil of secrecy surrounding the industry prior to the country's transition to democracy. The study expands past analyses to identify and estimate the magnitude of subsidies to liquid fuels production in South Africa in the present. Using the historical institutional approach, the study then places these measures of support in the South African political economy environment so as to understand the institutional barriers to their reform. In doing so, the study sheds light on the drivers informing the endurance of the liquid fuels subsidy regime and state support to the liquid fuels industry following the transition to democracy.
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    The role of industrial policy in pursuing climate change mitigation objectives in South Africa
    (2011) Burton, Jesse; Marquard, Andrew
    This thesis has drawn on Fine and Rustomjee's (1996) notion of the Minerals-Energy Complex (MEC) as a tool to analyse the relationship between industrial policy, energy use, and climate change mitigation policy in the South African context. The analysis finds that the South African economy has clearly developed in response to sets of industrial incentives offered both pre- and post-apartheid, which have structured the economy in such a way that electricity-intensive industry have come to dominate exports and investment in the country, but with very little positive effect on socio-economic development. This structure has a detrimental effect on possible mitigation actions; firstly because with the current development trajectory, it will be very challenging to meet mitigation targets as laid out in the country's Long-term Mitigation Scenarios (LTMS), and secondly because the mitigation wedges outlined in the LTMS will require significant shifts in the approaches, types and range of industrial policy measures that the country uses.