OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target

dc.contributor.authorJohnston, Susan J
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-07T09:26:46Z
dc.date.available2016-04-07T09:26:46Z
dc.date.issued2013
dc.date.updated2016-04-07T09:25:54Z
dc.description.abstractThe consequences of retuning OMP-2011 to achieve the agreed 35% median recovery level by 2021 given the decision not to decrease the 2012/13 season TAC by 150 tons as recommended are investigated. Over the next eight seasons, the aggregate TAC is forecast to be some 400 tons less than would otherwise have been the case. Most of the reduction will be borne by the offshore commercial sector, which should expect a reduction near the maximum 10% constraint over each of the next three seasons, and an allocation eventually stabilising about 100 tons (or some 7%) than would otherwise have occurred. The probability over the next two years of Exceptional Circumstances needing to be declared in super-area A7, with a consequent additional TAC reduction, roughly doubles. Certain other possible management approaches which explicitly exclude the possibility of future TAC reductions, are shown to run the risk of an appreciably larger biomass reduction by 2021.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationJohnston, S. J., & Butterworth, D. S. (2013). <i>OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18680en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationJohnston, Susan J, and Doug S Butterworth <i>OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18680en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationJohnston, S. J., & Butterworth, D. S. (2013). OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target. FISHERIES/2013/JAN/SWG-WCRL/01en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Johnston, Susan J AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - The consequences of retuning OMP-2011 to achieve the agreed 35% median recovery level by 2021 given the decision not to decrease the 2012/13 season TAC by 150 tons as recommended are investigated. Over the next eight seasons, the aggregate TAC is forecast to be some 400 tons less than would otherwise have been the case. Most of the reduction will be borne by the offshore commercial sector, which should expect a reduction near the maximum 10% constraint over each of the next three seasons, and an allocation eventually stabilising about 100 tons (or some 7%) than would otherwise have occurred. The probability over the next two years of Exceptional Circumstances needing to be declared in super-area A7, with a consequent additional TAC reduction, roughly doubles. Certain other possible management approaches which explicitly exclude the possibility of future TAC reductions, are shown to run the risk of an appreciably larger biomass reduction by 2021. DA - 2013 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2013 T1 - OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target TI - OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18680 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/18680
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationJohnston SJ, Butterworth DS. OMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery target. 2013 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18680en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherOMP
dc.subject.otherTAC decisions
dc.subject.otherrecovery target
dc.titleOMP-2011 re-tuned to account for 2012/13 TAC decisions while maintaining an unchanged recovery targeten_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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