‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa

dc.contributor.authorSeekings, Jeremy
dc.date.accessioned2017-04-24T06:22:35Z
dc.date.available2017-04-24T06:22:35Z
dc.date.issued2016-12
dc.description.abstractThe ‘affordability’ of new or expanded social protection programmes depends on more than an assessment of the fiscal costs or the poverty-reducing or developmental benefits. Diverse international organisations have showed that programmes costing less than or about 1 percent of GDP have substantial benefits, and most low-income countries have the ‘fiscal space’ for such programmes (including through increased taxation). These international organisations have generally failed to convince national policy-making elites to raise and to allocate scarce domestic resources to social protection programmes. The result is an ‘affordability gap’ between what is advocated for African countries and what those countries’ governments are willing to spend. This paper examines four cases of contestation over the ‘affordability’ of social protection reforms in Africa: Botswana, South Africa, Zambia and the semi- autonomous territory of Zanzibar. In all four cases political elites resisted or rejected proposals for expensive reforms. In practice, the most expensive reforms that were approved were ones costing only 0.4 to 0.5 percent of GDP. The governments of Zambia and Botswana generally resisted even expenditures of this magnitude. The cost ceiling for reforms is far below the estimates of international organisations, reflecting political, normative and ideological factors.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationSeekings, J. (2016). <i>‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Humanities ,Centre for Social Science Research(CSSR). Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24206en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationSeekings, Jeremy <i>‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Humanities ,Centre for Social Science Research(CSSR), 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24206en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationSeekings, J. (2016). ‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa. CSSR Working Paper No. 389. Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town: Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.isbn978-1-77011-376-3en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Seekings, Jeremy AB - The ‘affordability’ of new or expanded social protection programmes depends on more than an assessment of the fiscal costs or the poverty-reducing or developmental benefits. Diverse international organisations have showed that programmes costing less than or about 1 percent of GDP have substantial benefits, and most low-income countries have the ‘fiscal space’ for such programmes (including through increased taxation). These international organisations have generally failed to convince national policy-making elites to raise and to allocate scarce domestic resources to social protection programmes. The result is an ‘affordability gap’ between what is advocated for African countries and what those countries’ governments are willing to spend. This paper examines four cases of contestation over the ‘affordability’ of social protection reforms in Africa: Botswana, South Africa, Zambia and the semi- autonomous territory of Zanzibar. In all four cases political elites resisted or rejected proposals for expensive reforms. In practice, the most expensive reforms that were approved were ones costing only 0.4 to 0.5 percent of GDP. The governments of Zambia and Botswana generally resisted even expenditures of this magnitude. The cost ceiling for reforms is far below the estimates of international organisations, reflecting political, normative and ideological factors. DA - 2016-12 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2016 SM - 978-1-77011-376-3 T1 - ‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa TI - ‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24206 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/24206
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationSeekings J. ‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africa. 2016 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24206en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentCentre for Social Science Research(CSSR)en_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Humanitiesen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en_ZA
dc.title‘Affordability’ and the political economy of social protection in contemporary Africaen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceWorking paperen_ZA
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
WP 389 Seekings.pdf
Size:
949.07 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.72 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Collections