Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability

dc.contributor.advisorGossel, Sean
dc.contributor.authorMatshego, Isaac
dc.date.accessioned2019-08-01T08:20:54Z
dc.date.available2019-08-01T08:20:54Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.date.updated2019-07-31T07:39:48Z
dc.description.abstractBond market capitalisation in Sub-Saharan Africa is low even compared with the other developing economies. This dissertation thus examines the drivers of the development of local currency bond markets in 15 Sub-Saharan African economies over the period from 2003 to 2013, with a focus on the significance of macroeconomic stability proxied by exchange rate volatility. The empirical analysis focuses on government bond capitalisation, while the corporate bond market analysis focuses on seven of these economies for the period of 2004 to 2015. Possible explanatory factors are identified from the literature which attributes the development of local currency bond markets in developing economies to macroeconomic and institutional factors. The results of a dynamic panel data model show that macroeconomic instability is significant and negatively associated with local currency bond market capitalisation. In contrast, capital account openness is found to expand the investor base, for the low to lower-middle income economies in particular, while monetary credibility is positive and significant for bond market development irrespective of the monetary policy framework. Thus, this research suggests that the optimal set of policy options for local currency bond market development should encompass exchange rate stabilisation, capital account liberalisation, and monetary credibility.
dc.identifier.apacitationMatshego, I. (2019). <i>Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability</i>. (). ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB). Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationMatshego, Isaac. <i>"Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability."</i> ., ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB), 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationMatshego, I. 2019. Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability. . ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB). http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Matshego, Isaac AB - Bond market capitalisation in Sub-Saharan Africa is low even compared with the other developing economies. This dissertation thus examines the drivers of the development of local currency bond markets in 15 Sub-Saharan African economies over the period from 2003 to 2013, with a focus on the significance of macroeconomic stability proxied by exchange rate volatility. The empirical analysis focuses on government bond capitalisation, while the corporate bond market analysis focuses on seven of these economies for the period of 2004 to 2015. Possible explanatory factors are identified from the literature which attributes the development of local currency bond markets in developing economies to macroeconomic and institutional factors. The results of a dynamic panel data model show that macroeconomic instability is significant and negatively associated with local currency bond market capitalisation. In contrast, capital account openness is found to expand the investor base, for the low to lower-middle income economies in particular, while monetary credibility is positive and significant for bond market development irrespective of the monetary policy framework. Thus, this research suggests that the optimal set of policy options for local currency bond market development should encompass exchange rate stabilisation, capital account liberalisation, and monetary credibility. DA - 2019 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2019 T1 - Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability TI - Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationMatshego I. Determinants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability. []. ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB), 2019 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30392en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066Eng
dc.publisher.departmentGraduate School of Business (GSB)
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerce
dc.titleDeterminants of the development of a local currency bond market: the significance of macroeconomic stability
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMBA
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