Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis
| dc.contributor.advisor | Kotze, Kevin | |
| dc.contributor.author | Liu, Xinman | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2020-03-17T12:57:21Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2020-03-17T12:57:21Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
| dc.date.updated | 2020-03-17T12:19:49Z | |
| dc.description.abstract | This paper investigates the vulnerability of South Africa to the shocks that originate from its major trading partners over time using a structural vector autoregressive framework. We examine the impact of shocks emanating from the EU, the US, China, Japan, India and Brazil on South Africa’s output growth through both direct and indirect trade linkages, by considering the changing trade patterns from 1996 to 2017. The results suggest that the South African economy has become more integrated with emerging economies. Furthermore, China has increased its impact on the output growth of the other sample economies through trade linkages, which implies that developments in China are of increasing importance to other economies. The US and the EU are still dominated in propagating shocks despite their declining impact on the output growth of other economies in this sample. | |
| dc.identifier.apacitation | Liu, X. (2019). <i>Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis</i>. (). ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics. Retrieved from | en_ZA |
| dc.identifier.chicagocitation | Liu, Xinman. <i>"Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis."</i> ., ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2019. | en_ZA |
| dc.identifier.citation | Liu, X. 2019. Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis. . ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics. | en_ZA |
| dc.identifier.ris | TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Liu, Xinman AB - This paper investigates the vulnerability of South Africa to the shocks that originate from its major trading partners over time using a structural vector autoregressive framework. We examine the impact of shocks emanating from the EU, the US, China, Japan, India and Brazil on South Africa’s output growth through both direct and indirect trade linkages, by considering the changing trade patterns from 1996 to 2017. The results suggest that the South African economy has become more integrated with emerging economies. Furthermore, China has increased its impact on the output growth of the other sample economies through trade linkages, which implies that developments in China are of increasing importance to other economies. The US and the EU are still dominated in propagating shocks despite their declining impact on the output growth of other economies in this sample. DA - 2019 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Trade linkages KW - South Africa KW - SVAR model KW - output shocks LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2019 T1 - Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis TI - Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis UR - ER - | en_ZA |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11427/31614 | |
| dc.identifier.vancouvercitation | Liu X. Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis. []. ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2019 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: | en_ZA |
| dc.language.rfc3066 | eng | |
| dc.publisher.department | School of Economics | |
| dc.publisher.faculty | Faculty of Commerce | |
| dc.subject | Trade linkages | |
| dc.subject | South Africa | |
| dc.subject | SVAR model | |
| dc.subject | output shocks | |
| dc.title | Trade linkages and growth in South Africa: an SVAR analysis | |
| dc.type | Master Thesis | |
| dc.type.qualificationlevel | Masters | |
| dc.type.qualificationname | MCom |