Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations

dc.contributor.authorNorris, Pippa
dc.contributor.authorMattes, Robert
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-25T08:40:06Z
dc.date.available2016-04-25T08:40:06Z
dc.date.issued2003
dc.date.updated2016-04-25T08:37:21Z
dc.description.abstractStructural theories predict that the cues of social identity, particularly ethnicity, should exert a strong influence upon voting choices and party support in traditional agrarian societies, characterized by low levels of education and minimal access to the news media. To explore these issues, this study seeks to analyze the influence of ethno-linguistic and ethno-racial characteristics on identification with the governing party in a dozen African states, compared with other structural and attitudinal factors commonly used to explain patterns of partisanship in many countries. The study draws upon the first wave of the Afrobarometer, a cross-national representative survey of political and social values conducted in 1999-2001 in twelve nations in Sub-Saharan Africa, ranging from Botswana to Zimbabwe. We establish three main findings. Even with social and attitudinal controls, ethnicity is a significant predictor of party support in most, although not all, African societies under comparison. Yet the strength of this association varies cross-nationally, with the linkages strongest in societies divided by many languages, such as Namibia and South Africa, while playing an insignificant role in African countries where ethno-linguistic cleavages are more homogeneous, including Lesotho and Botswana. Moreover structural explanations are limited: evaluations of the policy performance of the party in government also influenced patterns of party support, even with prior social controls. The conclusion summarises the results and considers their broader implications for understanding the role of ethnic cleavages in elections within plural societies.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationNorris, P., & Mattes, R. (2003). <i>Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Humanities ,Centre for Social Science Research(CSSR). Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19166en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationNorris, Pippa, and Robert Mattes <i>Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Humanities ,Centre for Social Science Research(CSSR), 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19166en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationNorris, P., & Mattes, R. B. (2003). Does ethnicity determine support for the governing party?: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations. Centre for Social Science Research: University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Norris, Pippa AU - Mattes, Robert AB - Structural theories predict that the cues of social identity, particularly ethnicity, should exert a strong influence upon voting choices and party support in traditional agrarian societies, characterized by low levels of education and minimal access to the news media. To explore these issues, this study seeks to analyze the influence of ethno-linguistic and ethno-racial characteristics on identification with the governing party in a dozen African states, compared with other structural and attitudinal factors commonly used to explain patterns of partisanship in many countries. The study draws upon the first wave of the Afrobarometer, a cross-national representative survey of political and social values conducted in 1999-2001 in twelve nations in Sub-Saharan Africa, ranging from Botswana to Zimbabwe. We establish three main findings. Even with social and attitudinal controls, ethnicity is a significant predictor of party support in most, although not all, African societies under comparison. Yet the strength of this association varies cross-nationally, with the linkages strongest in societies divided by many languages, such as Namibia and South Africa, while playing an insignificant role in African countries where ethno-linguistic cleavages are more homogeneous, including Lesotho and Botswana. Moreover structural explanations are limited: evaluations of the policy performance of the party in government also influenced patterns of party support, even with prior social controls. The conclusion summarises the results and considers their broader implications for understanding the role of ethnic cleavages in elections within plural societies. DA - 2003 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2003 T1 - Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations TI - Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19166 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/19166
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationNorris P, Mattes R. Does ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nations. 2003 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19166en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentCentre for Social Science Research(CSSR)en_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Humanitiesen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
dc.titleDoes ethnicity determine electoral behaviour: the structural and attitudinal basis of partisan identification in 12 African nationsen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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