Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development

dc.contributor.authorDe Moor, Carryn L
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-15T12:23:06Z
dc.date.available2016-03-15T12:23:06Z
dc.date.issued2013
dc.date.updated2016-03-15T12:21:53Z
dc.description.abstractThe acceptable level of risk changes from one MP to the next given changes in the perceived level of productivity of a resource resulting from the inclusion of revised and new data in the underlying operating models. This is because the more or less the abundance of an unexploited resource fluctuates naturally (see, for example, the biomass distributions in the absence of catches that are implied by different operating models which are shown in Figure A.1), the more or less resilient it is likely to be to reduction to a specified level through exploitation, and hence the greater or lesser the acceptable probability that fishing reduce the resource to below that level. de Moor and Butterworth (2010) developed an objective method for determining an acceptable level of risk for a new MP that maintained comparability with that adopted in selecting the previous MP. This method was applied to obtain a revised level of risk for sardine in developing Interim OMP-13 (de Moor and Butterworth 2012b). However, the application of this method to obtain a revised level of risk for anchovy for Interim OMP-13 was not straightforward given changes (supported by analyses of updated time series of data) in the selected natural mortality values and stock-recruitment relationships from the operating model used to develop OMP-08 (de Moor and Butterworth 2012a).
dc.identifier.apacitationDe Moor, C. L., & Butterworth, D. S. (2013). <i>Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development</i> University of Cape Town. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17821en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationDe Moor, Carryn L, and Doug S Butterworth <i>Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development.</i> University of Cape Town, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17821en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationde Moor, C. L., & Butterworth, D. S. (2013). Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development. Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Document FISHERIES.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - De Moor, Carryn L AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - The acceptable level of risk changes from one MP to the next given changes in the perceived level of productivity of a resource resulting from the inclusion of revised and new data in the underlying operating models. This is because the more or less the abundance of an unexploited resource fluctuates naturally (see, for example, the biomass distributions in the absence of catches that are implied by different operating models which are shown in Figure A.1), the more or less resilient it is likely to be to reduction to a specified level through exploitation, and hence the greater or lesser the acceptable probability that fishing reduce the resource to below that level. de Moor and Butterworth (2010) developed an objective method for determining an acceptable level of risk for a new MP that maintained comparability with that adopted in selecting the previous MP. This method was applied to obtain a revised level of risk for sardine in developing Interim OMP-13 (de Moor and Butterworth 2012b). However, the application of this method to obtain a revised level of risk for anchovy for Interim OMP-13 was not straightforward given changes (supported by analyses of updated time series of data) in the selected natural mortality values and stock-recruitment relationships from the operating model used to develop OMP-08 (de Moor and Butterworth 2012a). DA - 2013 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2013 T1 - Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development TI - Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17821 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/17821
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationDe Moor CL, Butterworth DS. Re-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 development. 2013 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17821en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherUniversity of Cape Townen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.titleRe-considering the appropriate risk level for anchovy in OMP-13 developmenten_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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