The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004

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dc.contributor.advisorLeibbrandt, Murrayen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorPotgieter, Kristoffen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2015-02-11T14:15:33Z
dc.date.available2015-02-11T14:15:33Z
dc.date.issued2012en_ZA
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references.en_ZA
dc.description.abstractWho faces the worst labour market prospects in South Africa? To answer this pertinent question I will use panel data from the biannual Labour Force Survey composed by Statistics South Africa, to estimate time spent unemployed by respondents. Survival analysis is then used to untangle the characteristics and determinants of unemployment duration based on several variables characterising the demographic, geographic and educational diversity of the South African labour force. Results from the analysis support a ranking model of unemployment, as proposed by Blanchard and Diamond (1990), with divergent unemployment exit rates between high and low ranked work seekers. The ranking given to a given educational level is found to be strongly related to race, indicating that individuals from non-"model-C" schools face inferior labour market conditions. There is also some evidence that a willingness to work in the informal sector raises the probability of transitioning out of unemployment amongst individuals with less than a completed secondary education.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationPotgieter, K. (2012). <i>The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004</i>. (Thesis). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12451en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationPotgieter, Kristoff. <i>"The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004."</i> Thesis., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12451en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationPotgieter, K. 2012. The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Potgieter, Kristoff AB - Who faces the worst labour market prospects in South Africa? To answer this pertinent question I will use panel data from the biannual Labour Force Survey composed by Statistics South Africa, to estimate time spent unemployed by respondents. Survival analysis is then used to untangle the characteristics and determinants of unemployment duration based on several variables characterising the demographic, geographic and educational diversity of the South African labour force. Results from the analysis support a ranking model of unemployment, as proposed by Blanchard and Diamond (1990), with divergent unemployment exit rates between high and low ranked work seekers. The ranking given to a given educational level is found to be strongly related to race, indicating that individuals from non-"model-C" schools face inferior labour market conditions. There is also some evidence that a willingness to work in the informal sector raises the probability of transitioning out of unemployment amongst individuals with less than a completed secondary education. DA - 2012 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2012 T1 - The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004 TI - The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004 UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12451 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/12451
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationPotgieter K. The waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2012 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12451en_ZA
dc.language.isoengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentSchool of Economicsen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherEconomicsen_ZA
dc.titleThe waiting game : a survival analysis of unemployment duration in South Africa 2001-2004en_ZA
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMComen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceThesisen_ZA
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