Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa

dc.contributor.advisorJury, Mark Ren_ZA
dc.contributor.authorLevey, Kevin Men_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2014-10-17T07:35:14Z
dc.date.available2014-10-17T07:35:14Z
dc.date.issued1993en_ZA
dc.description.abstractThis work examines intra-seasonal rainfall variability over the summer rainfall region of South Africa. Spectral analysis of a precipitation minus evaporation index (P-E) compiled from 16 rainfall stations in the western Transvaal region of South Africa has shown that two dominant spectral peaks occur in the water budget or convection as identified by an outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) index and P-E index. A longer 40-60 day oscillation or Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and a shorter 20-30 day ISO are identified. The interaction between the Rossby waves of the mid-latitudes and the MJO of tropics appears to be the main cause of the 20-30 day ISO operating over southern Africa. Hovmoller analysis at 10° S and 40° S has shown that four modes exist in the propagation and oscillatory characteristics of various anomalies. Eastward and westward propagation is noted as well as standing wave patterns and "flip-flop" modes where anomalies alternate between positive and negative across the latitude band with time. The composite analysis revealed a tropically initiated signal of the 20-30 day ISO in the water vapour flux (WVF) anomaly field where strong easterly WVF vectors are noted between the equator and 10°S and between 40° E and 80° E. Strong convergence of water vapour occurs during the wet phase of the 20-30 day ISO over the south-western Indian Ocean and together with strong ridging of the South Atlantic Anticyclone (SAA) causes the south-easterly advection of moisture from the southern Mozambique Channel and over the warm Agulhas Current into South Africa. Post-wet phase anomaly composites do not show much similarity with pre-cursor anomaly composites. This implies that the 20-30 day ISO may be a half cycle of 40-60 days which is consistent with the MJO. However, it is felt that 20-30 day ISO's affecting the southern African region alternate in intensity within the period of the MJO.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationLevey, K. M. (1993). <i>Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa</i>. (Thesis). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/8499en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationLevey, Kevin M. <i>"Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa."</i> Thesis., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography, 1993. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/8499en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationLevey, K. 1993. Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Levey, Kevin M AB - This work examines intra-seasonal rainfall variability over the summer rainfall region of South Africa. Spectral analysis of a precipitation minus evaporation index (P-E) compiled from 16 rainfall stations in the western Transvaal region of South Africa has shown that two dominant spectral peaks occur in the water budget or convection as identified by an outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) index and P-E index. A longer 40-60 day oscillation or Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and a shorter 20-30 day ISO are identified. The interaction between the Rossby waves of the mid-latitudes and the MJO of tropics appears to be the main cause of the 20-30 day ISO operating over southern Africa. Hovmoller analysis at 10° S and 40° S has shown that four modes exist in the propagation and oscillatory characteristics of various anomalies. Eastward and westward propagation is noted as well as standing wave patterns and "flip-flop" modes where anomalies alternate between positive and negative across the latitude band with time. The composite analysis revealed a tropically initiated signal of the 20-30 day ISO in the water vapour flux (WVF) anomaly field where strong easterly WVF vectors are noted between the equator and 10°S and between 40° E and 80° E. Strong convergence of water vapour occurs during the wet phase of the 20-30 day ISO over the south-western Indian Ocean and together with strong ridging of the South Atlantic Anticyclone (SAA) causes the south-easterly advection of moisture from the southern Mozambique Channel and over the warm Agulhas Current into South Africa. Post-wet phase anomaly composites do not show much similarity with pre-cursor anomaly composites. This implies that the 20-30 day ISO may be a half cycle of 40-60 days which is consistent with the MJO. However, it is felt that 20-30 day ISO's affecting the southern African region alternate in intensity within the period of the MJO. DA - 1993 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 1993 T1 - Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa TI - Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/8499 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/8499
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationLevey KM. Intra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africa. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Oceanography, 1993 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/8499en_ZA
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Oceanographyen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherOcean and Atmosphere Scienceen_ZA
dc.titleIntra-seasonal oscillations of convection over southern Africaen_ZA
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMScen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceThesisen_ZA
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