Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa

dc.contributor.authorNzimande, Ntokozo Patrick
dc.contributor.authorNgalawa, Harold
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-23T10:51:43Z
dc.date.available2022-04-23T10:51:43Z
dc.date.issued2022-04-06
dc.date.updated2022-04-21T21:03:50Z
dc.description.abstractWhether to increase taxes or cut spending is an important question with profound policy implications, especially as countries attempt to deal with the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study, therefore, investigated the relationship between revenues and spending in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), where concerns about rising debt and deficits were raised prior to the pandemic. A panel bootstrap Granger-causality technique was used to analyze annual frequency data covering the 1980–2018 period. To our best knowledge, this was the first study in Africa to simultaneously account for cross-country differences and cross-section dependence. The findings of the study have in-depth implications for fiscal policy and adjustments towards budgetary equilibria. The study found no evidence of causality between revenues and spending in eleven SADC member states, suggesting that to balance their respective budgets, governments in these countries can alter either spending or revenues, or both. However, in Botswana, we found evidence of the tax-spend hypothesis, implying that governments should consider altering revenues to eliminate budget imbalances. Finally, evidence of the spend-tax hypothesis was found in Mauritius and Mozambique, suggesting that past and current expenditures drive revenues in these countries. Accordingly, cutting spending would be an ideal policy recourse to deal with budgetary disequilibrium.en_US
dc.identifierdoi: 10.3390/economies10040085
dc.identifier.apacitationNzimande, N. P., & Ngalawa, H. (2022). Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa. <i>Economies</i>, 10(4), 85. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationNzimande, Ntokozo Patrick, and Harold Ngalawa "Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa." <i>Economies</i> 10, 4. (2022): 85. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationNzimande, N.P. & Ngalawa, H. 2022. Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa. <i>Economies.</i> 10(4):85. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Nzimande, Ntokozo Patrick AU - Ngalawa, Harold AB - Whether to increase taxes or cut spending is an important question with profound policy implications, especially as countries attempt to deal with the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study, therefore, investigated the relationship between revenues and spending in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), where concerns about rising debt and deficits were raised prior to the pandemic. A panel bootstrap Granger-causality technique was used to analyze annual frequency data covering the 1980&ndash;2018 period. To our best knowledge, this was the first study in Africa to simultaneously account for cross-country differences and cross-section dependence. The findings of the study have in-depth implications for fiscal policy and adjustments towards budgetary equilibria. The study found no evidence of causality between revenues and spending in eleven SADC member states, suggesting that to balance their respective budgets, governments in these countries can alter either spending or revenues, or both. However, in Botswana, we found evidence of the tax-spend hypothesis, implying that governments should consider altering revenues to eliminate budget imbalances. Finally, evidence of the spend-tax hypothesis was found in Mauritius and Mozambique, suggesting that past and current expenditures drive revenues in these countries. Accordingly, cutting spending would be an ideal policy recourse to deal with budgetary disequilibrium. DA - 2022-04-06 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town IS - 4 J1 - Economies KW - SADC KW - revenues KW - starve the beast KW - deficits LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2022 T1 - Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa TI - Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationNzimande NP, Ngalawa H. Tax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africa. Economies. 2022;10(4):85. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36383.en_ZA
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisher.departmentSchool of Economicsen_US
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerceen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en_US
dc.sourceEconomiesen_US
dc.source.journalissue4en_US
dc.source.journalvolume10en_US
dc.source.pagination85en_US
dc.source.urihttps://www.mdpi.com/journal/economies
dc.subjectSADC
dc.subjectrevenues
dc.subjectstarve the beast
dc.subjectdeficits
dc.titleTax-Spend or Spend-Tax? The Case of Southern Africaen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
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