An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning

dc.contributor.advisorMeyer, Thomas A
dc.contributor.authorBaker, Clayton Kevin
dc.date.accessioned2023-02-23T13:44:27Z
dc.date.available2023-02-23T13:44:27Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.date.updated2023-02-20T12:14:54Z
dc.description.abstractEmpirical methods have been used to test whether human reasoning conforms to models of reasoning in logic-based artificial intelligence. Particularly, studies have shown that human reasoning is consistent with non-monotonic logic and belief change. The former refers to models of reasoning where previously drawn conclusions can be retracted when adding new information. The latter refers to the operations of revising and updating a set of beliefs, respectively, when presented with new information. The operation of revision assumes the world has remained the same and that only our knowledge about the world has changed. On the other side, update assumes that the world may have changed by the time the new information is added. Both operations require the resulting belief set to be consistent. Revision allows inconsistent beliefs to be deleted, while update acknowledges that the belief set may have been wrong if it contradicts the new information. Our work surveyed postulates of belief change with human reasoners. First, we studied the role of the postulates of belief revision and belief update in the literature. Next, we decomposed the postulates of revision and update into material implication statements, each containing a premise and a conclusion. We translated the premises and conclusions into English and surveyed the postulate translations with human reasoners. The main task of the surveys was for participants to judge the translated postulate components for plausibility. For our data analysis, we used statistical methods to test the relationship between the endorsement of the premises and the endorsement of the conclusion. For our data validation, we applied possibility theory to examine whether the relationship was significant for the broader population of English-speaking human reasoners. The results show that our participants' reasoning tends to be consistent with the postulates of belief revision and belief update when judging the premises and conclusion of the postulate separately.
dc.identifier.apacitationBaker, C. K. (2022). <i>An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning</i>. (). ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Computer Science. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationBaker, Clayton Kevin. <i>"An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning."</i> ., ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Computer Science, 2022. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationBaker, C.K. 2022. An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning. . ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Computer Science. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Master Thesis AU - Baker, Clayton Kevin AB - Empirical methods have been used to test whether human reasoning conforms to models of reasoning in logic-based artificial intelligence. Particularly, studies have shown that human reasoning is consistent with non-monotonic logic and belief change. The former refers to models of reasoning where previously drawn conclusions can be retracted when adding new information. The latter refers to the operations of revising and updating a set of beliefs, respectively, when presented with new information. The operation of revision assumes the world has remained the same and that only our knowledge about the world has changed. On the other side, update assumes that the world may have changed by the time the new information is added. Both operations require the resulting belief set to be consistent. Revision allows inconsistent beliefs to be deleted, while update acknowledges that the belief set may have been wrong if it contradicts the new information. Our work surveyed postulates of belief change with human reasoners. First, we studied the role of the postulates of belief revision and belief update in the literature. Next, we decomposed the postulates of revision and update into material implication statements, each containing a premise and a conclusion. We translated the premises and conclusions into English and surveyed the postulate translations with human reasoners. The main task of the surveys was for participants to judge the translated postulate components for plausibility. For our data analysis, we used statistical methods to test the relationship between the endorsement of the premises and the endorsement of the conclusion. For our data validation, we applied possibility theory to examine whether the relationship was significant for the broader population of English-speaking human reasoners. The results show that our participants' reasoning tends to be consistent with the postulates of belief revision and belief update when judging the premises and conclusion of the postulate separately. DA - 2022_ DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Computer Science LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2022 T1 - An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning TI - An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationBaker CK. An Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning. []. ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Computer Science, 2022 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37063en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066eng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Computer Science
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Science
dc.subjectComputer Science
dc.titleAn Empirical Investigation for Patterns of Belief Change in Human Reasoning
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationlevelMSc
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