Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa

dc.contributor.authorMelice, Jean-Luc
dc.contributor.authorReason, Chris J C
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-28T11:22:51Z
dc.date.available2018-03-28T11:22:51Z
dc.date.issued2007
dc.date.updated2016-01-18T10:42:33Z
dc.description.abstractThe torrential rains of August 2006 in the southern Cape of South Africa were the most intense observed in the region. Here we use the longest-available daily rainfall series at George (from 1941 to 2006), in the vicinity of which the most destructive floods were observed, together with an extreme value model to estimate the return period of such an extreme event. According to this model, the greatest annual maximum daily rainfall of 230 mm, observed at the town on 1 August 2006, has a return period of 1222 years, whereas the second-largest observed annual maximum daily rainfall (132 mm in September 1964) has a return period of 23 years. This shows that the August 2006 extreme rainfall at George can be considered as a particularly rare event.
dc.identifier.apacitationMelice, J., & Reason, C. J. C. (2007). Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa. <i>South African Journal of Science</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27733en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationMelice, Jean-Luc, and Chris J C Reason "Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa." <i>South African Journal of Science</i> (2007) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27733en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationMelice, J. L., & Reason, C. J. (2007). Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa: research letter. South African Journal of Science, 103(11 & 12), 499-501.
dc.identifier.ris TY - AU - Melice, Jean-Luc AU - Reason, Chris J C AB - The torrential rains of August 2006 in the southern Cape of South Africa were the most intense observed in the region. Here we use the longest-available daily rainfall series at George (from 1941 to 2006), in the vicinity of which the most destructive floods were observed, together with an extreme value model to estimate the return period of such an extreme event. According to this model, the greatest annual maximum daily rainfall of 230 mm, observed at the town on 1 August 2006, has a return period of 1222 years, whereas the second-largest observed annual maximum daily rainfall (132 mm in September 1964) has a return period of 23 years. This shows that the August 2006 extreme rainfall at George can be considered as a particularly rare event. DA - 2007 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town J1 - South African Journal of Science LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2007 T1 - Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa TI - Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27733 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/27733
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationMelice J, Reason CJC. Return period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa. South African Journal of Science. 2007; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27733.en_ZA
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Oceanographyen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.sourceSouth African Journal of Science
dc.source.urihttp://reference.sabinet.co.za/sa_epublication_article/sajsci_v103_n11_12_a14
dc.titleReturn period of extreme rainfall at George, South Africa
dc.typeJournal Article
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
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