Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data

dc.contributor.advisorAltwegg, Res
dc.contributor.advisorDurbach, Ian
dc.contributor.advisorMeasev, John
dc.contributor.authorPoongavanan, Jenicca
dc.date.accessioned2020-03-16T09:33:24Z
dc.date.available2020-03-16T09:33:24Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.date.updated2020-03-16T06:26:03Z
dc.description.abstractSpecies distributions are often limited by environmental factors and according to the abundant—centre hypothesis, abundance should be highest Where the environment is most favourable for the species. So, do the same environmental factors determine occurrence and abundance patterns inside the range? I examined this question using Arthroleptella lightfooti, a species of frog from the family of Pyxicephalidae, endemic to the mountains of the Cape peninsula. South Africa. I used density estimates obtained from acoustic Spatially Explicit Capture Recapture (aSCR) methods and data from an acoustic survey using an array of 6 microphones to construct the first Peninsula wide population-density surface for this visually cryptic but acoustically active species. The analysis consisted of three stages. The first involved creating two sets of data from the original: one shows whether the species is present or not and the other indicates the density when the species is present. The second stage consisted of fitting a Hurdle Model to the data where the presence data is modelled using logistic regression and the density data is separately modelled using ordinary linear regression. The third stage involved combining the two models to estimate the expected density of the species. Confidence intervals were built using non-parametric bootstrapping. It was found that covariates explaining variation in occurrence were not the same as those explaining variation in density, suggesting that processes determining occurrence were not always those determining density. Of the environmental conditions examined, although predictive of occurrence, were generally poor predictors of A. lightfooti density. Presence of the Lightfoot’s moss frog was largely explained by topographic features and availability of water. In contrast. predictions of density were only weakly related to these same environmental factors and in some cases contradicting one another. The second part of this study produces the first Peninsula wide population density surface of A. 11'ghtfo0t1'. At the same time, it assesses the ability of using opportunistically collected presence-only records in combination with the higher quality density data to improve the estimation of expected population-density surface of A. Iightfooti. The presence-only records were constructed into a habitat suitability map using an ensemble of species distribution models. The habitat suitability map was then integrated in the modelling framework as a covariate in order to improve the estimation of expected population—(lensity surface of A. liglitfooti. However, the habitat suitability covariate resulted as being uninformative.
dc.identifier.apacitationPoongavanan, J. (2019). <i>Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data</i>. (). ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Statistical Sciences. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationPoongavanan, Jenicca. <i>"Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data."</i> ., ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Statistical Sciences, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationPoongavanan, J. 2019. Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data. . ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Statistical Sciences. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Poongavanan, Jenicca AB - Species distributions are often limited by environmental factors and according to the abundant—centre hypothesis, abundance should be highest Where the environment is most favourable for the species. So, do the same environmental factors determine occurrence and abundance patterns inside the range? I examined this question using Arthroleptella lightfooti, a species of frog from the family of Pyxicephalidae, endemic to the mountains of the Cape peninsula. South Africa. I used density estimates obtained from acoustic Spatially Explicit Capture Recapture (aSCR) methods and data from an acoustic survey using an array of 6 microphones to construct the first Peninsula wide population-density surface for this visually cryptic but acoustically active species. The analysis consisted of three stages. The first involved creating two sets of data from the original: one shows whether the species is present or not and the other indicates the density when the species is present. The second stage consisted of fitting a Hurdle Model to the data where the presence data is modelled using logistic regression and the density data is separately modelled using ordinary linear regression. The third stage involved combining the two models to estimate the expected density of the species. Confidence intervals were built using non-parametric bootstrapping. It was found that covariates explaining variation in occurrence were not the same as those explaining variation in density, suggesting that processes determining occurrence were not always those determining density. Of the environmental conditions examined, although predictive of occurrence, were generally poor predictors of A. lightfooti density. Presence of the Lightfoot’s moss frog was largely explained by topographic features and availability of water. In contrast. predictions of density were only weakly related to these same environmental factors and in some cases contradicting one another. The second part of this study produces the first Peninsula wide population density surface of A. 11'ghtfo0t1'. At the same time, it assesses the ability of using opportunistically collected presence-only records in combination with the higher quality density data to improve the estimation of expected population-density surface of A. Iightfooti. The presence-only records were constructed into a habitat suitability map using an ensemble of species distribution models. The habitat suitability map was then integrated in the modelling framework as a covariate in order to improve the estimation of expected population—(lensity surface of A. liglitfooti. However, the habitat suitability covariate resulted as being uninformative. DA - 2019 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Ecological Statistics LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2019 T1 - Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data TI - Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationPoongavanan J. Modelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data. []. ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Statistical Sciences, 2019 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31595en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066eng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Statistical Sciences
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Science
dc.subjectEcological Statistics
dc.titleModelling the range-wide density patterns of the Arthroleptella lightfooti using acoustic monitoring data
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMSc
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