Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area

dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.contributor.authorMori, Mitsuko
dc.contributor.authorZenitani, Ryoko
dc.contributor.authorKato, Hidehiro
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-25T09:27:41Z
dc.date.available2016-02-25T09:27:41Z
dc.date.issued2006
dc.date.updated2016-02-17T09:41:39Z
dc.description.abstractThis study applies a model-based approach similar to that of Thomson et al. (1999) to the transition phase data obtained from JARPA surveys to examine trends in the age at maturity for the I and P stocks of Antarctic minke whales. The results, which takes into account various potential biases related to examining trend in transition phase data (i.e. truncation and fringe effects, differences between readers, and readers learning over time) suggest that the age at maturity of Antarctic minke whales declined from about 11 years in the late 1940s to 7 years in the late 1960s for both stocks, and these declining trends are statistically significant at the 5% level. The analyses also suggest that the age at maturity increased slightly from the late 1960s to the late 1970s and has stabilized thereafter. These trends are consistent with the results obtained from VPA (Mori et al. 2006), which suggest that for both the I and P stocks, abundance increased from the 1940s to the late 1960s and thereafter has been stable or declined somewhat. This consistency enhances the confidence to be placed in estimates of parameters (such as natural mortality and MSYR) from such VPA analyses that may be of value for management purposes. It also serves to demonstrate the utility of age-at-maturity as an index to monitor stock status, and suggests that continued monitoring of this parameter is desirable both for this purpose and for contributing to the understanding of the dynamics of the Antarctic ecosystem.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationButterworth, D. S., Mori, M., Zenitani, R., & Kato, H. (2006). <i>Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17254en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationButterworth, Doug S, Mitsuko Mori, Ryoko Zenitani, and Hidehiro Kato <i>Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17254en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationMori, M., Butterworth, D. S., Zenitani, R. & Kato, H. (2006). Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area. JARPA review document SC D, 6.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Butterworth, Doug S AU - Mori, Mitsuko AU - Zenitani, Ryoko AU - Kato, Hidehiro AB - This study applies a model-based approach similar to that of Thomson et al. (1999) to the transition phase data obtained from JARPA surveys to examine trends in the age at maturity for the I and P stocks of Antarctic minke whales. The results, which takes into account various potential biases related to examining trend in transition phase data (i.e. truncation and fringe effects, differences between readers, and readers learning over time) suggest that the age at maturity of Antarctic minke whales declined from about 11 years in the late 1940s to 7 years in the late 1960s for both stocks, and these declining trends are statistically significant at the 5% level. The analyses also suggest that the age at maturity increased slightly from the late 1960s to the late 1970s and has stabilized thereafter. These trends are consistent with the results obtained from VPA (Mori et al. 2006), which suggest that for both the I and P stocks, abundance increased from the 1940s to the late 1960s and thereafter has been stable or declined somewhat. This consistency enhances the confidence to be placed in estimates of parameters (such as natural mortality and MSYR) from such VPA analyses that may be of value for management purposes. It also serves to demonstrate the utility of age-at-maturity as an index to monitor stock status, and suggests that continued monitoring of this parameter is desirable both for this purpose and for contributing to the understanding of the dynamics of the Antarctic ecosystem. DA - 2006 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Antarctic minke whales KW - age at transition KW - transition phase KW - age at maturity LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2006 T1 - Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area TI - Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17254 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/17254
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationButterworth DS, Mori M, Zenitani R, Kato H. Model-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research area. 2006 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17254en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subjectAntarctic minke whalesen_ZA
dc.subjectage at transitionen_ZA
dc.subjecttransition phaseen_ZA
dc.subjectage at maturityen_ZA
dc.subject.otherantarctic minke whales
dc.subject.otherage at transition
dc.subject.othertransition phase
dc.subject.otherage at maturity
dc.titleModel-based analyses of trends over time in the age corresponding to the transition phase for Antarctic minke whales in the JARPA research areaen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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