Simulation model for evaluating the power of tagging data coupled to a forage area fishing closure experiment to determine the extent to which closure might impact penguin survival

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2009

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University of Cape Town

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A systematic penguin tagging programme has been proposed with the aim of correlating annual penguin survival estimates with whether or not pelagic fishing is excluded from the neighbourhood of an island in a year. A key parameter in the programme design is the number of new birds to be tagged annually. This paper outlines the simulations which will show how this number affects the power of a tagging programme to detect a difference in survival rates under different fishing treatments.
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