Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales

dc.contributor.authorBrandão, Anabela
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-16T07:54:58Z
dc.date.available2016-03-16T07:54:58Z
dc.date.issued2008
dc.date.updated2016-03-16T07:52:25Z
dc.description.abstractThe methodology advanced by Brandão and Butterworth (2007) for simulating catch sex sampling data in the process of computing lower confidence bounds for the abundance of the West Greenland minke whale population is applied to the new modelling scenarios developed at the March 2008 IWC Workshop on Greenlandic Fisheries. To date calculations have extended only to MSYR = 2%, and been implemented for Models 3, 4b and 5 for a production model of resource dynamics, and to Model 4b for the age-structured population model of Witting and Schweder (2008). For Model 5 for the SW stratum treated as an independent stock, the MLE of pre-exploitation abundance K is finite, so that standard likelihood profile estimates of lower confidence bounds for abundance are provided. For the production model, lower bounds for Model 4b (the “influx” model) are higher than for Model 3 (the “redistribution” model); however these Model 4b bounds decrease when an age-structured population model is used instead of a production model. A concern, however, is indications of non-convergence of some of the model fits required to compute the deviance distributions which are used to determine the confidence bounds; this matter is being investigated further.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationBrandão, A., & Butterworth, D. S. (2008). <i>Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales</i> International Whaling Commission. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17832en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationBrandão, Anabela, and Doug S Butterworth <i>Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales.</i> International Whaling Commission, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17832en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationBrandão, A., & Butterworth, D. S. (2008). Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales. IWC document SC/60/AWMP9.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Brandão, Anabela AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - The methodology advanced by Brandão and Butterworth (2007) for simulating catch sex sampling data in the process of computing lower confidence bounds for the abundance of the West Greenland minke whale population is applied to the new modelling scenarios developed at the March 2008 IWC Workshop on Greenlandic Fisheries. To date calculations have extended only to MSYR = 2%, and been implemented for Models 3, 4b and 5 for a production model of resource dynamics, and to Model 4b for the age-structured population model of Witting and Schweder (2008). For Model 5 for the SW stratum treated as an independent stock, the MLE of pre-exploitation abundance K is finite, so that standard likelihood profile estimates of lower confidence bounds for abundance are provided. For the production model, lower bounds for Model 4b (the “influx” model) are higher than for Model 3 (the “redistribution” model); however these Model 4b bounds decrease when an age-structured population model is used instead of a production model. A concern, however, is indications of non-convergence of some of the model fits required to compute the deviance distributions which are used to determine the confidence bounds; this matter is being investigated further. DA - 2008 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2008 T1 - Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales TI - Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17832 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/17832
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationBrandão A, Butterworth DS. Production model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whales. 2008 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17832en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherInternational Whaling Commissionen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.titleProduction model based estimates of lower confidence limits for the abundance of West Greenland minke whalesen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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