Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging

dc.contributor.advisorOuwehand, Peter
dc.contributor.authorPatel, Ishani
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-14T08:51:29Z
dc.date.available2023-04-14T08:51:29Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.date.updated2023-04-14T07:21:47Z
dc.description.abstractRecent literature in the field of quantitative finance has employed machine learning methods to speed up typical numerical calculations including derivative pricing, fitting Greek profiles, constructing volatility surfaces and modelling counterparty credit risk, to name a few. This dissertation aims to investigate the accuracy and efficiency of Gaussian process regression (GPR) compared to traditional quantitative pricing algorithms. The GPR algorithm is applied to pricing a down-and-out barrier call option. Notably, Crepey and Dixon ยด (2019) propose an alternative method for computing the Gaussian process Greeks by directly differentiating the GPR option pricing model. Based on their approach, the GPR algorithm is further extended to compute the delta and vega of the option. Numerical experiments display that option pricing accuracy scores are within a tolerable range and demonstrate increased speed of considerable magnitudes with speed-up factors in the 1 000s. Computing the Greeks convey favourable computational properties; however, the GPR model struggles to obtain accurate predictions for the delta and vega. The trade-off between accuracy and speed is further investigated, where the inclusion of additional GPR input parameters hinder performance metrics whilst a larger training data set improves model accuracy.
dc.identifier.apacitationPatel, I. (2022). <i>Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging</i>. (). ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationPatel, Ishani. <i>"Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging."</i> ., ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax, 2022. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationPatel, I. 2022. Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging. . ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Master Thesis AU - Patel, Ishani AB - Recent literature in the field of quantitative finance has employed machine learning methods to speed up typical numerical calculations including derivative pricing, fitting Greek profiles, constructing volatility surfaces and modelling counterparty credit risk, to name a few. This dissertation aims to investigate the accuracy and efficiency of Gaussian process regression (GPR) compared to traditional quantitative pricing algorithms. The GPR algorithm is applied to pricing a down-and-out barrier call option. Notably, Crepey and Dixon ยด (2019) propose an alternative method for computing the Gaussian process Greeks by directly differentiating the GPR option pricing model. Based on their approach, the GPR algorithm is further extended to compute the delta and vega of the option. Numerical experiments display that option pricing accuracy scores are within a tolerable range and demonstrate increased speed of considerable magnitudes with speed-up factors in the 1 000s. Computing the Greeks convey favourable computational properties; however, the GPR model struggles to obtain accurate predictions for the delta and vega. The trade-off between accuracy and speed is further investigated, where the inclusion of additional GPR input parameters hinder performance metrics whilst a larger training data set improves model accuracy. DA - 2022_ DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Mathematical Finance LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2022 T1 - Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging TI - Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationPatel I. Gaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging. []. ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax, 2022 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37735en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066eng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Finance and Tax
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerce
dc.subjectMathematical Finance
dc.titleGaussian Process Regression for Option Pricing and Hedging
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationlevelMPhil
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