Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis

dc.contributor.authorDe Moor, Carryn L
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-13T15:17:51Z
dc.date.available2016-04-13T15:17:51Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.date.updated2016-04-13T15:16:37Z
dc.description.abstractThe sardine assessment is extended to consider three hypotheses for the presence of two (west and east) stocks separated at Cape Agulhas. The first hypothesis of two completely separated stocks is dismissed, as it implies that an unrealistically low proportion of the recruits for the eastern stock are detected in the recruitment survey. The second hypothesis of movement of recruits from west to east stocks, the extent of which varies from year to year, is more successful in terms of matching the data for realistic values of detectability of eastern recruits in the recruitment survey. However the proportion moving from year to year is only weakly correlated with high biomass or recruitment in the western stock that year. The third hypothesis is a variant of the second for which the data are less informative because the “dividing line” between west and east recruits is taken to be unknown. This (in the one of several possible forms implemented thus far) produces similar results to the second hypothesis. It is proposed that because of the limited time available now to complete the OMP revision, and further issues still to be resolved relating to future projections under two stock hypotheses in relation to the distribution of catching, that future work in finalising this OMP process be restricted to the second hypothesis (specifically the variant which assumes movement from 1994 onwards onwards when the recruit survey was extended further eastwards).en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationDe Moor, C. L., & Butterworth, D. S. (2011). <i>Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18888en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationDe Moor, Carryn L, and Doug S Butterworth <i>Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18888en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationde Moor, C. L., & Butterworth, D. S. (2011). Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis. MARAM: University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - De Moor, Carryn L AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - The sardine assessment is extended to consider three hypotheses for the presence of two (west and east) stocks separated at Cape Agulhas. The first hypothesis of two completely separated stocks is dismissed, as it implies that an unrealistically low proportion of the recruits for the eastern stock are detected in the recruitment survey. The second hypothesis of movement of recruits from west to east stocks, the extent of which varies from year to year, is more successful in terms of matching the data for realistic values of detectability of eastern recruits in the recruitment survey. However the proportion moving from year to year is only weakly correlated with high biomass or recruitment in the western stock that year. The third hypothesis is a variant of the second for which the data are less informative because the “dividing line” between west and east recruits is taken to be unknown. This (in the one of several possible forms implemented thus far) produces similar results to the second hypothesis. It is proposed that because of the limited time available now to complete the OMP revision, and further issues still to be resolved relating to future projections under two stock hypotheses in relation to the distribution of catching, that future work in finalising this OMP process be restricted to the second hypothesis (specifically the variant which assumes movement from 1994 onwards onwards when the recruit survey was extended further eastwards). DA - 2011 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2011 T1 - Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis TI - Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18888 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/18888
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationDe Moor CL, Butterworth DS. Assessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesis. 2011 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18888en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.titleAssessment of the South African sardine resource using data from 1984-2010: further work towards a base case single stock hypothesisen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceWorking paperen_ZA
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