The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa

dc.contributor.advisorGossel, Sean
dc.contributor.authorSavadye, Laswet
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-16T10:55:01Z
dc.date.available2021-09-16T10:55:01Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.date.updated2021-09-16T09:32:15Z
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns for a sample of 27 African countries over the period 2003–2018 to examine the response of the exchange rates around the time of sovereign rating announcements. The data consist of longterm foreign currency sovereign ratings, outlooks, watch lists and daily exchange rates. The study applies a combination of an event study methodology using both univariate and multivariate analyses and the Granger causality tests in a panel framework as well as impulse response tests. The results suggest that, in Africa, exchange rates do not react significantly to changes in sovereign credit rating announcements. No significant evidence of contagion was found. It is thus implied that foreign exchange rates do not react significantly to new information from credit rating agencies which shows a disjoint between macro-economic fundamental performance and financial markets. African countries are encouraged to focus on stabilising their currencies, as well as attending to macro-economic fundamentals that will result in improved credit ratings.
dc.identifier.apacitationSavadye, L. (2020). <i>The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa</i>. (). ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB). Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationSavadye, Laswet. <i>"The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa."</i> ., ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB), 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationSavadye, L. 2020. The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa. . ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB). http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Master Thesis AU - Savadye, Laswet AB - This study investigates the impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns for a sample of 27 African countries over the period 2003–2018 to examine the response of the exchange rates around the time of sovereign rating announcements. The data consist of longterm foreign currency sovereign ratings, outlooks, watch lists and daily exchange rates. The study applies a combination of an event study methodology using both univariate and multivariate analyses and the Granger causality tests in a panel framework as well as impulse response tests. The results suggest that, in Africa, exchange rates do not react significantly to changes in sovereign credit rating announcements. No significant evidence of contagion was found. It is thus implied that foreign exchange rates do not react significantly to new information from credit rating agencies which shows a disjoint between macro-economic fundamental performance and financial markets. African countries are encouraged to focus on stabilising their currencies, as well as attending to macro-economic fundamentals that will result in improved credit ratings. DA - 2020_ DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Development Finance LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2020 T1 - The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa TI - The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationSavadye L. The impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa. []. ,Faculty of Commerce ,Graduate School of Business (GSB), 2020 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33955en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066eng
dc.publisher.departmentGraduate School of Business (GSB)
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerce
dc.subjectDevelopment Finance
dc.titleThe impact of sovereign credit ratings on foreign exchange rate returns in Africa
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationlevelMBA
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