Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study

dc.contributor.authorKenyon, Chrisen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorColebunders, Roberten_ZA
dc.contributor.authorVoeten, Heleneen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorLurie, Marken_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-27T09:33:39Z
dc.date.available2015-11-27T09:33:39Z
dc.date.issued2014en_ZA
dc.description.abstractBACKGROUND:Correctly identifying the determinants of generalized HIV epidemics is crucial to bringing down ongoing high HIV incidence in these countries. High rates of migration are believed to be an important determinant of HIV prevalence. This study has two aims. Firstly, it evaluates the ecological association between levels of internal and international migration and national peak HIV prevalence using thirteen variables from a variety of sources to capture various aspects of internal and international migration intensity. Secondly, it examines the relationship between circular migration and HIV at an individual and population-level in South Africa. METHODS: Linear regression was used to analyze the association between the various measures of migration intensity and peak national HIV prevalence for 141 countries and HIV prevalence by province and ethnic group in South Africa. RESULTS: No evidence of a positive ecological association between national migration intensity and HIV prevalence was found. This remained the case when the analyses were limited to the countries of sub-Saharan Africa. On the whole, countries with generalized HIV epidemics had lower rates of internal and external migration. Likewise, no association was found between migration and HIV positivity at an individual or group-level in South Africa. CONCLUSION: These results do not support the thesis that migration measured at the country level plays a significant role in determining peak HIV prevalence.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationKenyon, C., Colebunders, R., Voeten, H., & Lurie, M. (2014). Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study. <i>BMC Infectious Diseases</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/15398en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationKenyon, Chris, Robert Colebunders, Helene Voeten, and Mark Lurie "Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study." <i>BMC Infectious Diseases</i> (2014) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/15398en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationKenyon, C., Colebunders, R., Voeten, H., & Lurie, M. (2014). Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study. BMC Infectious Diseases, 14(1), 350.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Kenyon, Chris AU - Colebunders, Robert AU - Voeten, Helene AU - Lurie, Mark AB - BACKGROUND:Correctly identifying the determinants of generalized HIV epidemics is crucial to bringing down ongoing high HIV incidence in these countries. High rates of migration are believed to be an important determinant of HIV prevalence. This study has two aims. Firstly, it evaluates the ecological association between levels of internal and international migration and national peak HIV prevalence using thirteen variables from a variety of sources to capture various aspects of internal and international migration intensity. Secondly, it examines the relationship between circular migration and HIV at an individual and population-level in South Africa. METHODS: Linear regression was used to analyze the association between the various measures of migration intensity and peak national HIV prevalence for 141 countries and HIV prevalence by province and ethnic group in South Africa. RESULTS: No evidence of a positive ecological association between national migration intensity and HIV prevalence was found. This remained the case when the analyses were limited to the countries of sub-Saharan Africa. On the whole, countries with generalized HIV epidemics had lower rates of internal and external migration. Likewise, no association was found between migration and HIV positivity at an individual or group-level in South Africa. CONCLUSION: These results do not support the thesis that migration measured at the country level plays a significant role in determining peak HIV prevalence. DA - 2014 DB - OpenUCT DO - 10.1186/1471-2334-14-350 DP - University of Cape Town J1 - BMC Infectious Diseases LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2014 T1 - Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study TI - Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/15398 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/15398
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-14-350
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationKenyon C, Colebunders R, Voeten H, Lurie M. Migration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological study. BMC Infectious Diseases. 2014; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/15398.en_ZA
dc.language.isoengen_ZA
dc.publisherBioMed Central Ltden_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Medicineen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Health Sciencesen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.rightsThis is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licenseen_ZA
dc.rights.holder2014 Kenyon et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.en_ZA
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0en_ZA
dc.sourceBMC Infectious Diseasesen_ZA
dc.source.urihttp://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcinfectdis/en_ZA
dc.subject.otherEcologicalen_ZA
dc.subject.otherIndividual-levelen_ZA
dc.subject.otherCircular migrationen_ZA
dc.subject.otherInternational migrationen_ZA
dc.subject.otherInternal migrationen_ZA
dc.subject.otherHIVen_ZA
dc.titleMigration intensity has no effect on peak HIV prevalence: an ecological studyen_ZA
dc.typeJournal Articleen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceArticleen_ZA
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Kenyon_Migration_intensity_2014.pdf
Size:
283.97 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Collections