South African transport : an energy model until the year 2000

Master Thesis

1977

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University of Cape Town

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The South African transport industry is analysed sector by sector in terms of the transport service provided and fuel energy requirements. Taking cognisance of energy availability, technical, social and economic criteria, estimates are formed to predict the likely transport pattern and associated energy demand over the next quarter century. It is found that the transport industry remains primarily dependent upon petroleum fuels over this period, and that the demand could be satisfied by oil produced locally using oil-from-coal production. The limitations on present forecasting methods used for the transport sector are discussed arid the need for a review of current estimates is considered. The potential for energy conservation using modified transport patterns is explored together with alternate energy sources and the implications of transport deficiencies on the national economy.
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Bibliography: pages 221-223.

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