Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town

dc.contributor.advisorMcGaffin, Robert
dc.contributor.advisorNyirenda, Juwa Chiza
dc.contributor.authorDyer, Ross
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-18T10:34:03Z
dc.date.available2019-02-18T10:34:03Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.date.updated2019-02-18T08:40:56Z
dc.description.abstractThe literature shows that Random Forest is a suitable technique to predict a target variable for a household with completely unseen characteristics. The models produced in this paper show that the characteristics of a household can be used to predict the Type of Dwelling, the Tenure and the Number of Bedrooms to varying degrees of accuracy. While none of the sets of models produced indicate a high degree of predictive accuracy relative to hurdle rates, the paper does demonstrate the value that the Random Forest technique offers in moving closer to an understanding of the complex nature of housing demand. A key finding is that the Census variables available for the models are not discriminatory enough to enable the high degree of accuracy expected from a predictive model.
dc.identifier.apacitationDyer, R. (2018). <i>Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town</i>. (). University of Cape Town ,Engineering and the Built Environment ,Department of Construction Economics and Management. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29602en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationDyer, Ross. <i>"Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town."</i> ., University of Cape Town ,Engineering and the Built Environment ,Department of Construction Economics and Management, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29602en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationDyer, R. 2018. Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Dyer, Ross AB - The literature shows that Random Forest is a suitable technique to predict a target variable for a household with completely unseen characteristics. The models produced in this paper show that the characteristics of a household can be used to predict the Type of Dwelling, the Tenure and the Number of Bedrooms to varying degrees of accuracy. While none of the sets of models produced indicate a high degree of predictive accuracy relative to hurdle rates, the paper does demonstrate the value that the Random Forest technique offers in moving closer to an understanding of the complex nature of housing demand. A key finding is that the Census variables available for the models are not discriminatory enough to enable the high degree of accuracy expected from a predictive model. DA - 2018 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2018 T1 - Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town TI - Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29602 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/29602
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationDyer R. Predicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town. []. University of Cape Town ,Engineering and the Built Environment ,Department of Construction Economics and Management, 2018 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29602en_ZA
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Construction Economics and Management
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Engineering and the Built Environment
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherProperty Studies
dc.titlePredicting residential demand: applying random forest to predict housing demand in Cape Town
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMSc
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