The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries

dc.contributor.advisorCharteris, Ailie
dc.contributor.authorMachethe, Tumelo
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-14T12:17:37Z
dc.date.available2024-05-14T12:17:37Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.date.updated2024-05-14T12:06:18Z
dc.description.abstractDebt is a critical source of finance for countries to fund their budget deficits and development objectives. However, high yields discourage the issuance of bonds by African economies and impose financial difficulties, thus hindering the necessary development of the continent. This study examines the determinants of government bond yields in Africa and provides a comparative analysis against other emerging and advanced countries. The 10-year government bond is used as a proxy for the bond yield and its determinants are examined over the period 2010 – 2019. The Fixed Effects panel data model with an adjustment for heteroskedasticity and cross-sectional dependence is used. The findings show that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, government debt and the Federal Reserve fund rate have a significant impact on African government bond yields. In contrast, for other emerging and advanced economies, additional factors affect government bond yields including the current account balance, exchange rate, inflation and volatility. The results of this study have important policy implications for governments in Africa as increased knowledge of the determinants of government bond yields provides direction as to what policies they can focus on to aid in lowering yields. For example, given that GDP growth is found to be a significant determinant of African government bond yields, this means that governments must focus on building industries so that they produce more finished goods. Intra-Africa trade must be expedited to foster self-sufficiency of Africa and reduce reliance on trade with the big economies. These results also serve to raise awareness and entice global investors towards holding African country bonds.
dc.identifier.apacitationMachethe, T. (2023). <i>The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries</i>. (). ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationMachethe, Tumelo. <i>"The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries."</i> ., ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax, 2023. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationMachethe, T. 2023. The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries. . ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Machethe, Tumelo AB - Debt is a critical source of finance for countries to fund their budget deficits and development objectives. However, high yields discourage the issuance of bonds by African economies and impose financial difficulties, thus hindering the necessary development of the continent. This study examines the determinants of government bond yields in Africa and provides a comparative analysis against other emerging and advanced countries. The 10-year government bond is used as a proxy for the bond yield and its determinants are examined over the period 2010 – 2019. The Fixed Effects panel data model with an adjustment for heteroskedasticity and cross-sectional dependence is used. The findings show that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, government debt and the Federal Reserve fund rate have a significant impact on African government bond yields. In contrast, for other emerging and advanced economies, additional factors affect government bond yields including the current account balance, exchange rate, inflation and volatility. The results of this study have important policy implications for governments in Africa as increased knowledge of the determinants of government bond yields provides direction as to what policies they can focus on to aid in lowering yields. For example, given that GDP growth is found to be a significant determinant of African government bond yields, this means that governments must focus on building industries so that they produce more finished goods. Intra-Africa trade must be expedited to foster self-sufficiency of Africa and reduce reliance on trade with the big economies. These results also serve to raise awareness and entice global investors towards holding African country bonds. DA - 2023 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Finance and Tax LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2023 T1 - The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries TI - The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationMachethe T. The determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries. []. ,Faculty of Commerce ,Department of Finance and Tax, 2023 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39609en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066Eng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Finance and Tax
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerce
dc.subjectFinance and Tax
dc.titleThe determinants of government bond yields: A comparative analysis of African, emerging and developed countries
dc.typeThesis / Dissertation
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationlevelMCom
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
thesis_com_2023_machethe tumelo.pdf
Size:
2.01 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.72 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Collections