A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions

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dc.contributor.authorEbi, Kristie L
dc.contributor.authorHallegatte, Stephane
dc.contributor.authorKram, Tom
dc.contributor.authorArnell, Nigel W
dc.contributor.authorCarter, Timothy R
dc.contributor.authorEdmonds, Jae
dc.contributor.authorKriegler, Elmar
dc.contributor.authorMathur, Ritu
dc.contributor.authorO’Neill, Brian C
dc.contributor.authorRiahi, Keywan
dc.contributor.authorWinkler, Harald
dc.contributor.authorVan Vuuren, Detlef P
dc.contributor.authorZwickel, Timm
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-08T11:52:08Z
dc.date.available2016-02-08T11:52:08Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.date.updated2016-02-04T08:59:57Z
dc.description.abstractThe scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O’Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change.en_ZA
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3
dc.identifier.apacitationEbi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., ... Zwickel, T. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. <i>Climatic Change</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationEbi, Kristie L, Stephane Hallegatte, Tom Kram, Nigel W Arnell, Timothy R Carter, Jae Edmonds, Elmar Kriegler, et al "A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions." <i>Climatic Change</i> (2014) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationEbi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Winkler, H. et al. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122(3), 363-372.en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Ebi, Kristie L AU - Hallegatte, Stephane AU - Kram, Tom AU - Arnell, Nigel W AU - Carter, Timothy R AU - Edmonds, Jae AU - Kriegler, Elmar AU - Mathur, Ritu AU - O’Neill, Brian C AU - Riahi, Keywan AU - Winkler, Harald AU - Van Vuuren, Detlef P AU - Zwickel, Timm AB - The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O’Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change. DA - 2014 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town J1 - Climatic Change LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2014 SM - 0165-0009 T1 - A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions TI - A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationEbi KL, Hallegatte S, Kram T, Arnell NW, Carter TR, Edmonds J, et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change. 2014; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891.en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherSpringeren_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentEnergy Research Centreen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Engineering and the Built Environment
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.sourceClimatic Changeen_ZA
dc.source.urihttp://link.springer.com/journal/10584
dc.subject.otherClimatic changes
dc.subject.otherGreenhouse gas mitigation
dc.titleA new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directionsen_ZA
dc.typeJournal Articleen_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsscenario frameworken_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsclimate change researchen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceArticleen_ZA
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