Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts

dc.contributor.advisorBlack, Anthonyen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorGrant, Andrewen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-05T11:41:58Z
dc.date.available2016-04-05T11:41:58Z
dc.date.issued2014en_ZA
dc.description.abstractThis paper uses diffusion modeling to forecast the sales of Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles (PH/BEVs) in South Africa. First the potential benefits of PH/BEVs in South Africa are scrutinized. The global PH/BEV market is analyzed along with the goals and enticement policies of the countries that are best positioned for a widespread uptake of PH/BEVs. The supply and demand challenges facing the market for PH/BEVs in South Africa are evaluated with a review of current and proposed public policies. The total sales of PH/BEVs in South Africa are then forecast for the medium and long term using an adapted multiple technology generation Bass model with variable parameters for vehicle purchase price and running cost. Two scenarios are examined involving varying oil prices, electricity prices, government support and PH/BEV technological development.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationGrant, A. (2014). <i>Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts</i>. (Thesis). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationGrant, Andrew. <i>"Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts."</i> Thesis., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationGrant, A. 2014. Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Grant, Andrew AB - This paper uses diffusion modeling to forecast the sales of Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles (PH/BEVs) in South Africa. First the potential benefits of PH/BEVs in South Africa are scrutinized. The global PH/BEV market is analyzed along with the goals and enticement policies of the countries that are best positioned for a widespread uptake of PH/BEVs. The supply and demand challenges facing the market for PH/BEVs in South Africa are evaluated with a review of current and proposed public policies. The total sales of PH/BEVs in South Africa are then forecast for the medium and long term using an adapted multiple technology generation Bass model with variable parameters for vehicle purchase price and running cost. Two scenarios are examined involving varying oil prices, electricity prices, government support and PH/BEV technological development. DA - 2014 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2014 T1 - Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts TI - Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationGrant A. Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2014 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601en_ZA
dc.language.isoengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentSchool of Economicsen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherApplied Economicsen_ZA
dc.titlePlug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecastsen_ZA
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMComen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceThesisen_ZA
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