Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country

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dc.contributor.advisorViegi, Nicolaen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorTheoduloz, Taniaen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2014-10-31T18:02:26Z
dc.date.available2014-10-31T18:02:26Z
dc.date.issued2009en_ZA
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references (leaves 93-102).en_ZA
dc.description.abstractThe aim of the dissertation is to give an overview of some of the most relevant and popular methods suggested for estimating potential output and the output gap. Three alternative methodologies - the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the production function approach and the SVAR approach - are compared and assessed empirically with respect to data representing the economic development of Uruguay in the last twenty years. Given the recent growth slowdown and abrupt recovery of Uruguay's GOP, the objective is to provide evidence on whether such changes are principally a cyclical shortfall or instead represent a structural shift towards a new growth path. Once the output gaps are estimated, their capacity as indicators of inflationary pressures is assessed through a basic gap model in which the change in inflation is related to the output gap, the money supply and the terms of trade.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationTheoduloz, T. (2009). <i>Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country</i>. (Thesis). University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9007en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationTheoduloz, Tania. <i>"Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country."</i> Thesis., University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9007en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationTheoduloz, T. 2009. Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country. University of Cape Town.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Thesis / Dissertation AU - Theoduloz, Tania AB - The aim of the dissertation is to give an overview of some of the most relevant and popular methods suggested for estimating potential output and the output gap. Three alternative methodologies - the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the production function approach and the SVAR approach - are compared and assessed empirically with respect to data representing the economic development of Uruguay in the last twenty years. Given the recent growth slowdown and abrupt recovery of Uruguay's GOP, the objective is to provide evidence on whether such changes are principally a cyclical shortfall or instead represent a structural shift towards a new growth path. Once the output gaps are estimated, their capacity as indicators of inflationary pressures is assessed through a basic gap model in which the change in inflation is related to the output gap, the money supply and the terms of trade. DA - 2009 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2009 T1 - Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country TI - Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9007 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/9007
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationTheoduloz T. Estimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging country. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Commerce ,School of Economics, 2009 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9007en_ZA
dc.language.isoengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentSchool of Economicsen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Commerceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.subject.otherApplied Economicsen_ZA
dc.titleEstimation and evaluation of potential output dyanamics in an emerging countryen_ZA
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationnameMComen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceThesisen_ZA
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