2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results

dc.contributor.authorJohnston, Susan J
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-25T10:05:13Z
dc.date.available2016-04-25T10:05:13Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.date.updated2016-04-25T07:17:17Z
dc.description.abstractInitial updated assessments are developed for the South Coast rock lobster resource incorporating the recently revised estimates of somatic growth rate by area developed by OLRAC, and fitting to area-specific CPUE and scientific catch-at-length data. The initial focus is on a model structure which splits the resource into areas A1E, A1W and A2+3. A problem arises because the slow growth rate estimate for A1E results in an unrealistically high estimate of preexploitation biomass, and some approaches to circumvent this are explored. The pack-category-based catch-at-length data are not consistent with these results and it is suggested that they be excluded from future model fits. Allowing selectivity at length to vary over time makes little difference to stock trajectory estimates, but scarcely improves non-random patterns in the catchat-length residuals, so that the investigation of alternative functional forms for this variation is suggested. An alternative model structure based on areas A1, A2 and A3 yields an estimate of the current depletion of the spawning biomass which is appreciably less than in previous assessments which were based on this structure; the reasons for this need to be identified.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationJohnston, S. J., & Butterworth, D. S. (2012). <i>2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19181en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationJohnston, Susan J, and Doug S Butterworth <i>2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19181en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationJohnston, S. J., & Butterworth, D. S. (2012). 2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results. FISHERIES.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - Johnston, Susan J AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - Initial updated assessments are developed for the South Coast rock lobster resource incorporating the recently revised estimates of somatic growth rate by area developed by OLRAC, and fitting to area-specific CPUE and scientific catch-at-length data. The initial focus is on a model structure which splits the resource into areas A1E, A1W and A2+3. A problem arises because the slow growth rate estimate for A1E results in an unrealistically high estimate of preexploitation biomass, and some approaches to circumvent this are explored. The pack-category-based catch-at-length data are not consistent with these results and it is suggested that they be excluded from future model fits. Allowing selectivity at length to vary over time makes little difference to stock trajectory estimates, but scarcely improves non-random patterns in the catchat-length residuals, so that the investigation of alternative functional forms for this variation is suggested. An alternative model structure based on areas A1, A2 and A3 yields an estimate of the current depletion of the spawning biomass which is appreciably less than in previous assessments which were based on this structure; the reasons for this need to be identified. DA - 2012 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2012 T1 - 2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results TI - 2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19181 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/19181
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationJohnston SJ, Butterworth DS. 2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial results. 2012 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19181en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.title2012 South coast rock lobster operating models-some initial resultsen_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceResearch paperen_ZA
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