A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved

dc.contributor.authorde Moor, C L
dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Doug S
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-23T08:26:25Z
dc.date.available2017-02-23T08:26:25Z
dc.date.issued2016-12
dc.description.abstractButterworth (2016) outlined a draft process for setting the initial directed >14cm sardine TAC for 2017. This document expands on the detail of that draft process, with some changes/updates. Further, it provides initial projections from November 2015 to November 2017, assuming that the May 2016 survey estimate of recruitment was observed without error. Ideally the SWG-PEL will select a low probability for November 2017 projected 2+ biomass being below the inflection point of the hockey-stick stock recruitment curve at the meeting on 7th December, based on the initial results presented below. In addition, the SWG-PEL may need to select a percentage increase above the recommended west coast catch limit that could be used to recommend an initial directed >14cm sardine TAC. This latter step seems to need consideration because formal spatial restrictions will not at this stage be included on the permits with the initial TAC allocation. Thus, as a worst case scenario, the majority of this initial TAC may be caught on the west coast. The remaining steps in this process are proposed to be undertaken after the November 2016 hydroacoustic survey estimate of abundance becomes available.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationde Moor, C. L., & Butterworth, D. S. (2016). <i>A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24004en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationde Moor, C L, and Doug S Butterworth <i>A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved.</i> University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24004en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationde Moor, C.L. and Butterworth, D.S. 2016. A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved. DAFF Branch Fisheries document. FISHERIES/2016/DEC/SWG-PEL/74rev: 11pp.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Working Paper AU - de Moor, C L AU - Butterworth, Doug S AB - Butterworth (2016) outlined a draft process for setting the initial directed >14cm sardine TAC for 2017. This document expands on the detail of that draft process, with some changes/updates. Further, it provides initial projections from November 2015 to November 2017, assuming that the May 2016 survey estimate of recruitment was observed without error. Ideally the SWG-PEL will select a low probability for November 2017 projected 2+ biomass being below the inflection point of the hockey-stick stock recruitment curve at the meeting on 7th December, based on the initial results presented below. In addition, the SWG-PEL may need to select a percentage increase above the recommended west coast catch limit that could be used to recommend an initial directed >14cm sardine TAC. This latter step seems to need consideration because formal spatial restrictions will not at this stage be included on the permits with the initial TAC allocation. Thus, as a worst case scenario, the majority of this initial TAC may be caught on the west coast. The remaining steps in this process are proposed to be undertaken after the November 2016 hydroacoustic survey estimate of abundance becomes available. DA - 2016-12 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2016 T1 - A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved TI - A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24004 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/24004
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationde Moor CL, Butterworth DS. A proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieved. 2016 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24004en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentMarine Resource Assessment and Management Groupen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Scienceen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.titleA proposal for determining the initial desirable maximum catch of directed sardine west of Cape Agulhas during 2017, with suggestions on how this might be achieveden_ZA
dc.typeWorking Paperen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceWorking paperen_ZA
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