AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa

dc.contributor.authorNattrass, Nicoli
dc.date.accessioned2016-05-05T15:04:28Z
dc.date.available2016-05-05T15:04:28Z
dc.date.issued2003
dc.date.updated2016-05-05T15:02:20Z
dc.description.abstractSouth Africa is home to more HIV-positive people than any other country in the world. This is a developmental disaster, yet our understanding of the economic impact of the AIDS pandemic is sketchy at best. Macroeconomic modellers are divided over whether the overall impact of the epidemic will be to raise or lower per capita GDP, and there are no studies of the impact of AIDS on income distribution. This paper provides a critical overview of recent macro-economic research on the impact of AIDS in South Africa. It is not a comprehensive bibliographic review (as in CADRE 2000a and 2000b), but rather a selective analysis of recent and important pieces of economic research. The key objective is to explain, in an accessible manner, how different macroeconomic models arrive at different results and to point to the limitations of these models - in particular, their failure to take into account the dynamic adjustments suggested by firm-level studies. It is argued that the recent sharp decline in the cost of antiretroviral medication will probably result in more firms providing such medication to their workers (particularly skilled workers). If so, then the economic impact of AIDS will be less substantial than that projected by the main macroeconomic models. However, the distributional implications are unsettling.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationNattrass, N. (2003). AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa. <i>The South African Journal of Economics</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19465en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationNattrass, Nicoli "AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa." <i>The South African Journal of Economics</i> (2003) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19465en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationNattrass, N. (2003). Aids, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa. South African Journal of Economics, 71(3), 428-454.en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0038-2280en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Nattrass, Nicoli AB - South Africa is home to more HIV-positive people than any other country in the world. This is a developmental disaster, yet our understanding of the economic impact of the AIDS pandemic is sketchy at best. Macroeconomic modellers are divided over whether the overall impact of the epidemic will be to raise or lower per capita GDP, and there are no studies of the impact of AIDS on income distribution. This paper provides a critical overview of recent macro-economic research on the impact of AIDS in South Africa. It is not a comprehensive bibliographic review (as in CADRE 2000a and 2000b), but rather a selective analysis of recent and important pieces of economic research. The key objective is to explain, in an accessible manner, how different macroeconomic models arrive at different results and to point to the limitations of these models - in particular, their failure to take into account the dynamic adjustments suggested by firm-level studies. It is argued that the recent sharp decline in the cost of antiretroviral medication will probably result in more firms providing such medication to their workers (particularly skilled workers). If so, then the economic impact of AIDS will be less substantial than that projected by the main macroeconomic models. However, the distributional implications are unsettling. DA - 2003 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town J1 - The South African Journal of Economics LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2003 SM - 0038-2280 T1 - AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa TI - AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19465 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/19465
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationNattrass N. AIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africa. The South African Journal of Economics. 2003; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/19465.en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherWileyen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentCentre for Social Science Research(CSSR)en_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Humanitiesen_ZA
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.sourceThe South African Journal of Economicsen_ZA
dc.source.urihttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1813-6982
dc.titleAIDS, economic growth and income distribution in South Africaen_ZA
dc.typeJournal Articleen_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceArticleen_ZA
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