Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development

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dc.contributor.authorWinkler, Harald
dc.contributor.authorBorchers, Mark
dc.contributor.authorHughes, Alison
dc.contributor.authorHeinrich, Glen
dc.contributor.authorVisagie, Eugene
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-05T05:58:33Z
dc.date.available2016-02-05T05:58:33Z
dc.date.issued2005
dc.date.updated2016-02-03T07:52:19Z
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this report is to develop some scenarios for Cape Town’s energy future. The simulation model, the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) system, has been used to simulate how energy might develop in Cape Town over the twenty years from 2000 to 2020. These developments are driven not only by the nature of the energy sector itself, but also by broader factors, notably population, household size, economic growth (which may vary by sector) and other factors. The report builds on previous work done on the ‘state of energy’ for Cape Town (CCT & SEA 2003). That report was useful in capturing the current status of energy in the city, informed the City Energy Strategy conference and Cape Town’s own strategy (SEA, CCT & ICLEI 2003) and provided the starting data for this study. This report takes the work further in developing a tool that simulates what might happen to energy in the future, in a business-as-usual case and with policy interventions. A range of policy interventions are selected, and how these would change energy development in the city is examined, compared to a reference case. Interventions were selected based on various criteria, including implementation cost and technical feasibility, environmental priority, and political will. Different policies can be grouped for their sectors – industry, residential, commercial, government and transport – and also combined to form multiple-policy scenarios. These scenarios should be understood as a series of ‘what if’ questions, e.g. what if the City of Cape Town increased efficiency in its own buildings. The scenarios are not any prediction of the future, nor are any of these scenarios considered more likely than others. Instead, we report the implications of different policies and scenarios. The implications for energy, environment (both local pollutants and global greenhouse gases) and development are of particular interest. This study reports the cost implications of different scenarios only to a limited extent, as to do this adequately for many of the scenarios is beyond the scope of the project. Areas where further work is required, including around costing, are also identified.en_ZA
dc.identifier.apacitationWinkler, H., Borchers, M., Hughes, A., Heinrich, G., & Visagie, E. (2005). Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development. <i>Energy Research Centre</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16749en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationWinkler, Harald, Mark Borchers, Alison Hughes, Glen Heinrich, and Eugene Visagie "Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development." <i>Energy Research Centre</i> (2005) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16749en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationWinkler, H., Borchers, M., Hughes, A., Visagie, E., & Heinrich, G. (2005). Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development. ENERGY RESEARCH.en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Journal Article AU - Winkler, Harald AU - Borchers, Mark AU - Hughes, Alison AU - Heinrich, Glen AU - Visagie, Eugene AB - The purpose of this report is to develop some scenarios for Cape Town’s energy future. The simulation model, the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) system, has been used to simulate how energy might develop in Cape Town over the twenty years from 2000 to 2020. These developments are driven not only by the nature of the energy sector itself, but also by broader factors, notably population, household size, economic growth (which may vary by sector) and other factors. The report builds on previous work done on the ‘state of energy’ for Cape Town (CCT & SEA 2003). That report was useful in capturing the current status of energy in the city, informed the City Energy Strategy conference and Cape Town’s own strategy (SEA, CCT & ICLEI 2003) and provided the starting data for this study. This report takes the work further in developing a tool that simulates what might happen to energy in the future, in a business-as-usual case and with policy interventions. A range of policy interventions are selected, and how these would change energy development in the city is examined, compared to a reference case. Interventions were selected based on various criteria, including implementation cost and technical feasibility, environmental priority, and political will. Different policies can be grouped for their sectors – industry, residential, commercial, government and transport – and also combined to form multiple-policy scenarios. These scenarios should be understood as a series of ‘what if’ questions, e.g. what if the City of Cape Town increased efficiency in its own buildings. The scenarios are not any prediction of the future, nor are any of these scenarios considered more likely than others. Instead, we report the implications of different policies and scenarios. The implications for energy, environment (both local pollutants and global greenhouse gases) and development are of particular interest. This study reports the cost implications of different scenarios only to a limited extent, as to do this adequately for many of the scenarios is beyond the scope of the project. Areas where further work is required, including around costing, are also identified. DA - 2005 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town J1 - Energy Research Centre LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PB - University of Cape Town PY - 2005 T1 - Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development TI - Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16749 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/16749
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationWinkler H, Borchers M, Hughes A, Heinrich G, Visagie E. Cape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy development. Energy Research Centre. 2005; http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16749.en_ZA
dc.languageengen_ZA
dc.publisherUniversity of Cape Townen_ZA
dc.publisher.departmentEnergy Research Centreen_ZA
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Engineering and the Built Environment
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Cape Town
dc.sourceEnergy Research Centreen_ZA
dc.subject.otherenergy policy
dc.subject.otherenergy development
dc.titleCape Town energy futures: Policies and scenarios for sustainable city energy developmenten_ZA
dc.typeJournal Articleen_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsCape Townen_ZA
uct.subject.keywordssustainable cityen_ZA
uct.subject.keywordsenergy developmenten_ZA
uct.type.filetypeText
uct.type.filetypeImage
uct.type.publicationResearchen_ZA
uct.type.resourceArticleen_ZA
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