A summary of the method used to provide 2019 catch limit advice for South African sardine

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2019

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Abstract
Following the declaration of Exceptional Circumstances for sardine, a TAC and TABs for sardine for 2019 were recommended based on short-term projections rather than on OMP-18. The methods used to obtain those projections are described. The Small Pelagic Scientific Working Group (SWG-PEL) focused primarily on the simulated multiplicative increase in biomass from November 2018 to 2019 under alternative 2019 catch scenarios when compared to a no catch scenario.
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