The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe

dc.contributor.advisorAmar, Arjun
dc.contributor.authorNkomo, Merlyn
dc.date.accessioned2022-03-07T20:46:42Z
dc.date.available2022-03-07T20:46:42Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.date.updated2022-03-07T20:46:12Z
dc.description.abstractUnderstanding how species respond to variations in weather patterns will be crucial to improve our predictions about how species will cope with climate change. The Verreaux's Eagle (Aquila verreauxii) and its primary prey species the Rock Hyrax (Procavia capensis) and Yellow-spotted Hyrax (Heterohyrax brucei) have been monitored by a long-term citizen science project in the Matobo Hills, Zimbabwe. A previous study associated rainfall patterns with the establishment, breeding density and productivity of Verreaux's Eagles. Fluctuations in hyrax populations have been attributed to fluctuations in rainfall and drought. However, these studies have been limited by the use of total annual rainfall instead of targeted rainfall periods of when biological outcomes are most sensitive to weather phenomena. This study explored critical climate sensitivity windows influencing the Verreaux's Eagle's reading performance and the abundance of its main prey species. We used observations of 109 nests over 37 years (1984-2019) and counts from 20 hyrax den sites for 13 years (1993-2005), together with remotely sensed rainfall data. The probability of attempting to breeding and the probability of producing a fledgling was negatively associated with rainfall. For breeding attempt, the rainfall during June and July, 11-10 months before laying was the most relevant, whereas, for productivity, the rainfall during December to March, nine-five months before fledging was the most relevant. However, the relationship between the rainfall signal and breeding productivity was not significant. Hyrax abundance had a negative quadratic relationship with mean rainfall against their respective climate windows, whereby the abundance of adult and sub-adult hyrax increased with rainfall during July–September but declined thereafter at greater rainfall levels. The abundance of hyrax did not have a significant relationship with the breeding outcomes of the Verreaux's Eagles. This study shows the complexity of the causal relationships between climate and biological outcomes and also the value of long-term data to understanding the impacts of variations in weather patterns to better understand predator-prey dynamics.
dc.identifier.apacitationNkomo, M. (2021). <i>The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe</i>. (). ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Biological Sciences. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitationNkomo, Merlyn. <i>"The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe."</i> ., ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Biological Sciences, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationNkomo, M. 2021. The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe. . ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Biological Sciences. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Master Thesis AU - Nkomo, Merlyn AB - Understanding how species respond to variations in weather patterns will be crucial to improve our predictions about how species will cope with climate change. The Verreaux's Eagle (Aquila verreauxii) and its primary prey species the Rock Hyrax (Procavia capensis) and Yellow-spotted Hyrax (Heterohyrax brucei) have been monitored by a long-term citizen science project in the Matobo Hills, Zimbabwe. A previous study associated rainfall patterns with the establishment, breeding density and productivity of Verreaux's Eagles. Fluctuations in hyrax populations have been attributed to fluctuations in rainfall and drought. However, these studies have been limited by the use of total annual rainfall instead of targeted rainfall periods of when biological outcomes are most sensitive to weather phenomena. This study explored critical climate sensitivity windows influencing the Verreaux's Eagle's reading performance and the abundance of its main prey species. We used observations of 109 nests over 37 years (1984-2019) and counts from 20 hyrax den sites for 13 years (1993-2005), together with remotely sensed rainfall data. The probability of attempting to breeding and the probability of producing a fledgling was negatively associated with rainfall. For breeding attempt, the rainfall during June and July, 11-10 months before laying was the most relevant, whereas, for productivity, the rainfall during December to March, nine-five months before fledging was the most relevant. However, the relationship between the rainfall signal and breeding productivity was not significant. Hyrax abundance had a negative quadratic relationship with mean rainfall against their respective climate windows, whereby the abundance of adult and sub-adult hyrax increased with rainfall during July–September but declined thereafter at greater rainfall levels. The abundance of hyrax did not have a significant relationship with the breeding outcomes of the Verreaux's Eagles. This study shows the complexity of the causal relationships between climate and biological outcomes and also the value of long-term data to understanding the impacts of variations in weather patterns to better understand predator-prey dynamics. DA - 2021 DB - OpenUCT DP - University of Cape Town KW - Verreaux's eagle KW - prey species KW - Matobo hills KW - Zimbabwe LK - https://open.uct.ac.za PY - 2021 T1 - The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe TI - The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984 ER - en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984
dc.identifier.vancouvercitationNkomo M. The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe. []. ,Faculty of Science ,Department of Biological Sciences, 2021 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984en_ZA
dc.language.rfc3066eng
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Biological Sciences
dc.publisher.facultyFaculty of Science
dc.subjectVerreaux's eagle
dc.subjectprey species
dc.subjectMatobo hills
dc.subjectZimbabwe
dc.titleThe influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
dc.typeMaster Thesis
dc.type.qualificationlevelMasters
dc.type.qualificationlevelMSc
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