Initial sardine projections based on constant catch scenarios.

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2019

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http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30779
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FISHERIES_2018_FEB_SWG-PEL_05REV InitialProjectionResults.pdf (606.72 KB)
Authors
de Moor, Carryn
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Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
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Faculty of Science
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Abstract
In December 2018 the Small Pelagic Scientific Working Group (SWG-PEL) declared Exceptional Circumstances for the sardine resource as a result of (among other things) the very low survey estimate of sardine abundance in November 2018. Any Total Allowable Catch/Bycatches (TAC/Bs) that would have been recommended under OMP-18 were thus set aside. The SWG-PEL recommended a delay in the start of the directed sardine fishery to allow further computations to be undertaken to assess whether some non-zero directed sardine TAC could be scientifically justified for 2019. This document considers some projections of the sardine resource under alternative constant catch scenarios to initiate discussions towards the possible increase of 2019 sardine TABs and/or the setting of a 2019 directed sardine TAC.
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Reference:

de Moor, C. 2019. Initial sardine projections based on constant catch scenarios.

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