Reference Set results and projections under the current OMP for the South African hake resource

Rademeyer, Rebecca A; Butterworth, Doug S

Reference Set results and projections under the current OMP for the South African hake resource

Working Paper

2016-12

Publisher

University of Cape Town

Department

Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group

Faculty

Faculty of Science

License

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Abstract

The full hake Reference Set (RS) of OMs is updated at the mid-way stage of the four-year implementation of OMP-14, and used to project under continued application of that OMP. Combining across the full RS indicates that in median terms, TACs are expected to decline for a further four years. This raises the question of whether the OMP review scheduled for 2018 should be brought forward a year to 2017, thus admitting the possibility of a larger (than 5%) TAC decrease for 2018, and thereby speeding recovery and reducing the period for which TAC decreases are to be expected.

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