Browsing by Subject "Morbidity"

Now showing 1 - 6 of 6
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    Open Access
    Antiretroviral treatment cohort analysis using time-updated CD4 counts: assessment of bias with different analytic methods
    (Public Library of Science, 2011) Kranzer, Katharina; Lewis, James J; White, Richard G; Glynn, Judith R; Lawn, Stephen D; Middelkoop, Keren; Bekker, Linda-Gail; Wood, Robin
    BACKGROUND: Survival analysis using time-updated CD4+ counts during antiretroviral therapy is frequently employed to determine risk of clinical events. The time-point when the CD4+ count is assumed to change potentially biases effect estimates but methods used to estimate this are infrequently reported. METHODS: This study examined the effect of three different estimation methods: assuming i) a constant CD4+ count from date of measurement until the date of next measurement, ii) a constant CD4+ count from the midpoint of the preceding interval until the midpoint of the subsequent interval and iii) a linear interpolation between consecutive CD4+ measurements to provide additional midpoint measurements. Person-time, tuberculosis rates and hazard ratios by CD4+ stratum were compared using all available CD4+ counts (measurement frequency 1-3 months) and 6 monthly measurements from a clinical cohort. Simulated data were used to compare the extent of bias introduced by these methods. RESULTS: The midpoint method gave the closest fit to person-time spent with low CD4+ counts and for hazard ratios for outcomes both in the clinical dataset and the simulated data. CONCLUSION: The midpoint method presents a simple option to reduce bias in time-updated CD4+ analysis, particularly at low CD4 cell counts and rapidly increasing counts after ART initiation.
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    Open Access
    Early severe morbidity and resource utilization in South African adults on antiretroviral therapy
    (BioMed Central Ltd, 2009) de Cherif, Teresa; Schoeman, Jan; Cleary, Susan; Meintjes, Graeme; Rebe, Kevin; Maartens, Gary
    BACKGROUND:High rates of mortality and morbidity have been described in sub-Saharan African patients within the first few months of starting highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). There is limited data on the causes of early morbidity on HAART and the associated resource utilization. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted of medical admissions at a secondary-level hospital in Cape Town, South Africa. Patients on HAART were identified from a register and HIV-infected patients not on HAART were matched by gender, month of admission, and age group to correspond with the first admission of each case. Primary reasons for admission were determined by chart review. Direct health care costs were determined from the provider's perspective. RESULTS: There were 53 in the HAART group with 70 admissions and 53 in the no-HAART group with 60 admissions. The median duration of HAART was 1 month (interquartile range 1-3 months). Median baseline CD4 count in the HAART group was 57 x 106 cells/L (IQR 15-115). The primary reasons for admission in the HAART group were more likely to be due to adverse drug reactions and less likely to be due to AIDS events than the no-HAART group (34% versus 7%; p < 0.001 and 39% versus 63%; p = 0.005 respectively). Immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome was the primary reason for admission in 10% of the HAART group. Lengths of hospital stay per admission and inpatient survival were not significantly different between the two groups. Five of the 15 deaths in the HAART group were due to IRIS or adverse drug reactions. Median costs per admission of diagnostic and therapeutic services (laboratory investigations, radiology, intravenous fluids and blood, and non-ART medications) were higher in the HAART group compared with the no-HAART group (US$190 versus US$111; p = 0.001), but the more expensive non-curative costs (overhead, capital, and clinical staff) were not significantly different (US$1199 versus US$1128; p = 0.525). CONCLUSIONS: Causes of early morbidity are different and more complex in HIV-infected patients on HAART. This results in greater resource utilization of diagnostic and therapeutic services.
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    Open Access
    Effect of artemether-lumefantrine policy and improved vector control on malaria burden in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
    (Public Library of Science, 2005) Barnes, Karen I; Durrheim, David N; Little, Francesca; Jackson, Amanda; Mehta, Ushma; Allen, Elizabeth; Dlamini, Sicelo S; Tsoka, Joyce; Bredenkamp, Barry; Mthembu, D Jotham
    In KwaZulu-Natal strengthening of vector control and a change in antimalarial treatment policy to use of artemether-lumefantrine has been associated with a decrease in malaria cases, admissions, and deaths.
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    Open Access
    Evidence insufficient to confirm the value of population screening for diabetes and hypertension in low- and-middle-income settings
    (2015) Durao, Solange; Ajumobi, Oluwayemisi; Kredo, Tamara; Naude, Celeste; Levitt, Naomi S; Steyn, Krisela; Bradshaw, Debbie; Young, Taryn
    To assess the evidence from systematic reviews on the effect on morbidity and mortality of blanket screening for hypertension or diabetes mellitus compared with targeted, opportunistic or no screening, we searched for relevant systematic reviews and conducted duplicate study selection, data extraction and quality appraisal. Results were summarised narratively. We included two completed reviews of moderate quality and one ongoing Cochrane review. In one completed review, general health checks had no effect on total morbidity or mortality or on healthcare services compared with no health checks. In the other, intensive hypertension screening methods were ineffective in increasing screening uptake or detecting new cases compared with less intensive methods. Both reviews included studies in high-income settings. There is insufficient evidence from currently available systematic reviews to confirm a beneficial effect of blanket screening for hypertension and/or diabetes compared with other types of screening methods in low- and middle-income settings. Scarce resources are being mobilised to implement mass screening intervention for diabetes and hypertension without adequate evidence of its effects. A systematic review is needed to assess clinical effectiveness, cost-effectiveness and overall impact on the health system of screening strategies, especially in low- and middle-income settings such as exist in South Africa. Robust evaluation of these outcomes would then be necessary to inform secondary prevention strategies.
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    Initial burden of disease estimates for South Africa, 2000
    (2003) Bradshaw, Debbie; Groenewald, Pam; Laubscher, Ria; Nannan, Nadine; Nojilana, Beatrice; Norman, Rosana; Pieterse, Desiréé; Schneider, Michelle; Bourne, David E; Ian M Timæus; Dorrington, Rob; Johnson, Leigh
    Background. This paper describes the first national burden of disease study for South Africa. The main focus is the burden due to premature mortality, i.e. years of life lost (YLLs). In addition, estimates of the burden contributed by morbidity, i.e. the years lived with disability (YLDs), are obtained to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs); and the impact of AIDS on premature mortality in the year 2010 is assessed. Method. Owing to the rapid mortality transition and the lack of timely data, a modelling approach has been adopted. The total mortality for the year 2000 is estimated using a demographic and AIDS model. The non-AIDS cause-of-death profile is estimated using three sources of data: Statistics South Africa, the National Department of Home Affairs, and the National Injury Mortality Surveillance System. A ratio method is used to estimate the YLDs from the YLLestimates. Results. The top single cause of mortality burden was HIV/AIDS followed by homicide, tuberculosis, road traffic accidents and diarrhoea. HIV/AIDS accounted for 38% of total YLLs, which is proportionately higher for females (47%) than for males (33%). Pre-transitional diseases, usually associated with poverty and underdevelopment, accounted for 25%, non-communicable diseases 21% and injuries 16% of YLLs. The DALY estimates highlight the fact that mortality alone underestimates the burden of disease, especially with regard to unintentional injuries, respiratory disease, and nervous system, mental and sense organ disorders. The impact of HIV/AIDS is expected to more than double the burden of premature mortality by the year 2010 Conclusion. This study has drawn together data from a range of sources to develop coherent estimates of premature mortality by cause. South Africa is experiencing a quadruple burden of disease comprising the pre-transitional diseases, the emerging chronic diseases, injuries, and HIV/AIDS. Unless interventions that reduce morbidity and delay morbidity become widely available, the burden due to HIV/AIDS can be expected to grow very rapidly in the next few years. An improved base of information is needed to assess the morbidity impact more accurately
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    Provider-initiated HIV testing and counselling for children
    (Public Library of Science, 2014) Davies, Mary-Ann; Kalk, Emma
    Mary-Ann Davies and Emma Kalk reflect on recent research by Rashida Ferrand and colleagues into barriers to provider-initiated HIV testing for older children in Zimbabwe. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary