Browsing by Subject "Dassen Island"

Now showing 1 - 4 of 4
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    Analyses of the results from the island closure feasibility study for the Dassen/Robben and St Croix/Bird Island Pairs
    (2014) Robinson, William M L; Butterworth, Doug S; Furman, Liam B
    The results from the Island Closure Feasibility Study are analysed using the GLMs as set out at the 2010 international stock assessment workshop. Estimates of residual variance for a random year effects GLM for the various penguin response variables are considered to be sufficiently precise to enable power analyses to be conducted to contribute to the evaluation of whether to transition to a full experimental closures programme, so that the feasibility study may be considered successfully concluded. For the Dassen and Robben Islands about 80% of the estimates of the fishing effect parameter λ are positive, with this same proportion maintained for those (about one sixth) of these estimates which are significant at the 5% level. Thus the preponderance of the evidence from these analyses is that the impact of fishing around these islands has been positive. The rather fewer instances available to analyse for the Eastern Cape colonies suggest a weakly positive effect at Bird Island, but a somewhat stronger negative effect at St Croix. The power analyses suggest that in cases for Dassen and Robben Islands where further data collection might render currently non-significant λ estimates significant at the 5% level within the next two decades, the likely period required for such further collection would typically be in the vicinity of five years. The advantage provided by continuing the closure programme itself seems however to be slight, as the natural variation over time in normal catches would be sufficient to provide the contrast to achieve such results with only typically two years’ extension to those five years. For the two Eastern Cape islands, it seems that results which are statistically significant at the 5% level seem unlikely to be achieved in the foreseeable future – a result which may be a consequence of the relatively low levels of sardine catches typically taken close to those islands.
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    An analysis of the small scale surveys of anchovy abundance around Robben and Dassen islands from 2009 to 2013
    (2014) Robinson, William M L; Butterworth, Doug S
    The results from the small scale hydroacoustic surveys of the abundance of anchovy around Robben and Dassen islands over the 2009-2013 period are analysed under the assumption of a Gaussian form for the trends in density at each island over the course of the winter months. Based primarily on AICc, the model selected from amongst a number of variants has the same trend in abundance with year for the two islands, compatible with the assumption used by Robinson (2013) in his GLM analysis of the impact of closures to pelagic fishing around these islands on penguin recovery, though the data have limited power to distinguish deviations from that assumption. The abundance estimates from the island surveys, though compatible also with the May recruitment survey trends, show appreciably larger variance. This raises the question of whether these small scale surveys merit continuation, unless it is possible to increase their frequency considerably during the winter months each year to improve the overall precision of the integrals over local abundance which they can provide.
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    Breeding success of African penguins Spheniscus demersus at Dassen Island, especially after oiling following the Apollo Sea spill
    (2008) Wolfaardt, A C; Underhill, L G; Nel, D C; Williams, A J; Visagie, J
    The reproductive success of African penguins Spheniscus demersus at Dassen Island from 1994 to 2000 was variable, but much higher than previously reported figures for the species. Breeding success was positively related to the abundance of anchovy Engraulis encrasicolus and sardine Sardinops sagax, and the high reproductive output during the study was attributed to the large biomass and high availability of these two species for much of the study period. De-oiled penguins from the Apollo Sea spill had a slightly lower hatching success but a significantly lower overall breeding success than that of un-oiled birds, driven mainly by the reduced number of chicks which fledged. Nests with two de-oiled Apollo Sea parents were less successful than nests with one de-oiled bird. There was increased mortality of chicks 40 days and older in nests with de-oiled birds. Chicks from nests with one de-oiled Apollo Sea parent grew at a similar rate to chicks from nests with no de-oiled parents. However, chicks from nests that comprised two de-oiled Apollo Sea birds had significantly slower growth rates than these other two groups. Breeding success and chick growth at nests with de-oiled birds were more negatively impacted when feeding conditions were less favourable. These results suggest that one of the main reasons for lower breeding success in de-oiled birds was their reduced ability to provision chicks, especially during the period in which the energy demands of the chicks is greatest. The rate of mate fidelity was lower in de-oiled birds than un-oiled birds, and there was a positive association between mate fidelity and breeding success.
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    Open Access
    Restoration of oiled African penguins Spheniscus demersus a decade after the Apollo Sea spill
    (2008) Wolfaardt, A C; Underhill, L G; Altwegg, R; Visagie, J
    The bulk ore carrier Apollo Sea sank south-west of Dassen Island off western South Africa in June 1994, oiling approximately 10 000 African penguins Spheniscus demersus, most of which were collected from Dassen Island. A total of 4 076 de-oiled penguins was released with flipper bands. From 1994 to 2005, follow-up research using re-sighting and capture-mark-recapture methods indicated that about 73% of the de-oiled penguins observed back at Dassen Island attempted to breed, and were thus successfully restored into the breeding population. For de-oiled breeders, the median interval between their first recorded sighting and first recorded breeding attempt was 11 months, indicating a short-term delay in restoration. At least 45% of the de-oiled breeders were still being re-sighted five years after their release, and a minimum of 4% survived into their ninth year. These results represent the most successful restoration estimates anywhere in the world. The proportion of de-oiled juvenile penguins re-sighted back at Dassen Island and recorded breeding was lower than that of birds in adult plumage. De-oiled non-breeders spent significantly more time along the shore and less time within breeding colonies than de-oiled breeders. The mean proportion of de-oiled breeders that abstained from breeding each year during the study period was greater than expected. There was a negative relationship between breeding and subsequent survival and breeding, suggesting a cost of reproduction for de-oiled birds.