Short‐term projections of the South African anchovy resource using constant catch scenarios

Abstract

This document considers the short‐ and medium‐term impact of a range of future constant catch scenarios on the anchovy resource to assist the SWG‐PEL in making a scientifically justified initial anchovy TAC recommendation. Projections are considered under three alternative models and a range of future recruitment scenarios or ‘regimes’. Results have been provided for both the ‘impact’ of the catch scenarios on the resource (by comparing catch to no catch projections) and the depletion of the resource (by comparing catch to Dynamic B0 projections).