Precision of 5th percentiles of West Greenland bowhead whales

Abstract

This paper provides the results of a simulation exercise to determine the precision of the 5th percentile as the number of replicates increases. The plots below show the average with 95% confidence intervals (on the left) and the standard deviation (on the right) of the 5th percentile for various number of draws sampled with replacement from 1000 values of the conservation performance statistic of the relative increase of the 1+ population (D10) over 1000 simulations. The plots showing the average of the 5th percentile also show a horizontal line at 1 (the continuous line) and a horizontal line at the value obtain by the recommended SLA (the dashed line). Results are shown for the bowhead whale evaluation trials under the recommended SLA.