An investigation of the reasons for the changes in particularly M. paradoxus assessment results from the May to the September Reference Case (RC) assessments shows these to be almost entirely a consequence of the changed formulations for selectivities, with updating of and further years’ data having little impact. The probability of a TAC drop of greater than 5% under the current OMP is not high, and in terms of the September RC is not forecast to occur with more than 5% probability before the end of the decade.
Reference:
Rademeyer, R.A. and Butterworth, D.S.2016. Building a bridge between the May and the September reference cases for the South African resource and related matters. DAFF Branch Fisheries document: FISHERIES/2016/SEPT/SWG-DEM/75: 12pp.
Rademeyer, R. A., & Butterworth, D. S. (2016). Building a bridge between the May and the September Reference Cases for the South African resource and related matters University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24026
Rademeyer, Rebecca A, and Doug S Butterworth Building a bridge between the May and the September Reference Cases for the South African resource and related matters. University of Cape Town ,Faculty of Science ,Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24026
Rademeyer RA, Butterworth DS. Building a bridge between the May and the September Reference Cases for the South African resource and related matters. 2016 [cited yyyy month dd]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/24026
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