A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions

 

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dc.contributor.author Ebi, Kristie L
dc.contributor.author Hallegatte, Stephane
dc.contributor.author Kram, Tom
dc.contributor.author Arnell, Nigel W
dc.contributor.author Carter, Timothy R
dc.contributor.author Edmonds, Jae
dc.contributor.author Kriegler, Elmar
dc.contributor.author Mathur, Ritu
dc.contributor.author O’Neill, Brian C
dc.contributor.author Riahi, Keywan
dc.contributor.author Winkler, Harald
dc.contributor.author Van Vuuren, Detlef P
dc.contributor.author Zwickel, Timm
dc.date.accessioned 2016-02-08T11:52:08Z
dc.date.available 2016-02-08T11:52:08Z
dc.date.issued 2014
dc.identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3
dc.identifier.citation Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Winkler, H. et al. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122(3), 363-372. en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn 0165-0009 en_ZA
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16891
dc.description.abstract The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O’Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change. en_ZA
dc.language eng en_ZA
dc.publisher Springer en_ZA
dc.source Climatic Change en_ZA
dc.source.uri http://link.springer.com/journal/10584
dc.subject.other Climatic changes
dc.subject.other Greenhouse gas mitigation
dc.title A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions en_ZA
dc.type Journal Article en_ZA
dc.date.updated 2016-02-04T08:59:57Z
uct.type.publication Research en_ZA
uct.type.resource Article en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords scenario framework en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords climate change research en_ZA
dc.publisher.institution University of Cape Town
dc.publisher.faculty Faculty of Engineering & the Built Environment en_ZA
dc.publisher.department Energy Research Centre en_ZA
uct.type.filetype Text
uct.type.filetype Image


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