Building bridges to 2020 and beyond: the road from Bali


Show simple item record Winkler, Harald Vorster, Shaun 2016-02-03T14:19:51Z 2016-02-03T14:19:51Z 2007
dc.identifier 10.1080/14693062.2007.9685652
dc.identifier.citation Winkler, H., & Vorster, S. (2007). Building bridges to 2020 and beyond: the road from Bali. Climate Policy, 7(3), 240-254. en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn 1469-3062 en_ZA
dc.description.abstract What would the shape of a realistic, yet ambitious, package for the climate regime after 2012 look like? How do we obtain a package deal starting in Bali but building bridges to a post-2020 climate regime? A fair, effective, flexible and inclusive package deal has to strike a core balance between development and climate imperatives (mitigation, adaptation, dealing with the impacts of response measures, technology transfer, investment and finance) to create bargaining space and establish a conceptual contract zone. Within a continuum of possible packages, two packages in the contract zone are identified: ‘multi-stage’ and ‘ambitious transitional’. The latter is ambitious, combining domestic cap-and-trade for the USA, deeper cuts for Annex B countries, and quantifiable mitigation actions by developing countries. It is transitional as a possible bridge to a more inclusive regime beyond 2020. Multi-stage is defined around mechanisms by which countries move through increasingly stringent levels of participation, and must be based upon agreed triggers. Our assessment of political dynamics is that multi-stage is not yet in the political contract zone. Key to this is the absence of a ‘trigger from the North’, in that the largest historical emitter must act earlier and most decisively. But progress will also depend on continued leadership from Annex B countries, as well as more proactive, incentivized leadership in the South. Agreeing on the transitional stage is the critical next step in the evolution of the climate regime. Negotiating any package will require an institutional space for bargaining, political leadership and trust, and a clear time-frame. en_ZA
dc.language eng en_ZA
dc.publisher Taylor & Francis en_ZA
dc.source Climate Policy en_ZA
dc.subject.other Climatic changes
dc.subject.other Sustainable development
dc.subject.other Climate negotiations
dc.title Building bridges to 2020 and beyond: the road from Bali en_ZA
dc.type Journal Article en_ZA 2016-02-03T08:48:07Z
uct.type.publication Research en_ZA
uct.type.resource Article en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords Bali en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords climate negotiations en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords developing countries en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords development and climate en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords multilateral climate policy frameworks en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords package deals en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords post-2012 en_ZA
uct.subject.keywords South–North en_ZA
dc.publisher.institution University of Cape Town
dc.publisher.faculty Faculty of Engineering & the Built Environment en_ZA
dc.publisher.department Energy Research Centre en_ZA
uct.type.filetype Text
uct.type.filetype Image

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