Browsing by Subject "market efficiency"

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Open Access
    Investing in REITs: A value-based approach
    (2019) Brits, De Villiers; Viruly, Francois
    The primary purpose of this study is to test whether a value-based investment strategy will outperform a growth-based investment strategy when applied to SAREIT investment. The secondary purpose is to assess whether the SAREIT investor can discriminate between strong and weak value-REITs through sound accounting-based fundamental analysis using the F-Score Model. Building on existing research on value-based investment strategies and market efficiency, this study offers an SAREIT perspective to the existing body of knowledge on value investing theory through portfolio selection based on P/NAV, P/E, P/CF and DY ratio analysis. The holding period returns of the respective value-based portfolios are compared to their growth-based counterparts for an examination of relative performance. The evidence from this research does not offer probabilistic support that a value-based approach to SAREIT selection and investment will outperform a growth-based approach, nor that it is possible to discriminate between financially strong and weak value-REITs through sound accounting-based fundamental analysis using the F-Score Model. Further research is required to develop the said strategies and models for application to the SAREIT sector.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Open Access
    Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
    (2021) Muzhoba, Gorata; Majoni, Akios
    Using the ARFIMA-FIGARCH model, this dissertation examines the efficiency of Botswana's bond market. It focuses on the properties of the return and volatility of the Fleming Asset Bond Index (the main aggregate fixed income benchmark index in Botswana) over the period September 2009 to May 2019. The weak-form version of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is used as a criterion to investigate the existence of long memory in both bond returns and volatility. The results of our study indicate that the Botswana bond market data follow, to a great extent, the long-range dependence which negates the precepts of the efficient market hypothesis. Furthermore, policy reforms intended to stimulate bond market reform and related efficiency gains appear not to have produced the desired outcomes as the existence of long memory is found across all sample periods. Further remedial policies are suggested to enhance market dynamism.