Browsing by Author "Steynor, Anna"

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    Exploring the role of climate change risk perceptions in informing climate services for adaptation in East Africa
    (2023) Steynor, Anna; Hewitson, Bruce; Pasquini, Lorena
    The specificities of the African decision context are not well understood and are often not considered in the development, tailoring and supply of climate services for Africa. Yet, the utility of climate services relies on them being suitable for the decision context, so an understanding of the decision context should be central to climate services development. One unexplored approach to deepening an understanding of the decision context for climate services is through climate change risk perceptions, because perceptions of climate change risk influence whether decision makers take action on climate change as well as what information they seek and use to take action. Accordingly, this study uses data collected through a regional survey (N = 474) and semi-structured interviews (N = 36) to explore and better understand climate change risk perceptions amongst policy decision influencers in east Africa. The data informs three separate analyses. First, a climate change risk perceptions model is constructed, elucidating how various risk perception determinants interact to influence climate change risk perceptions and professional action on climate change in east Africa. This model shows that the pathway to climate change risk perceptions differs depending on individual value systems. Heightened climate change risk perceptions of those with primarily self-enhancing (inward looking) values are predominantly influenced by social norms, whereas heightened climate change risk perceptions of those with primarily self-transcending (outward facing) values are predominantly influenced by experience of extreme events and the psychological proximity of climate change. Second, the identified climate change risk perception determinants are quantified and explored to better understand the specificities of the decision context in which climate services are used. Climate change risk perceptions are found to be heightened, driven by observance of social norms, perceptions of climate change as a proximal risk, frequent experience of extreme weather events and a predominantly self-transcending value system among policy decision influencers. Lastly, the relationships between determinants of climate change risk perceptions and the use of climate services information are quantified and explored to evaluate gaps in currently available climate services. The analysis reveals three main gaps, namely the lack of long-term climate change projections disseminated through National Meteorological Services, the limited locally ground-truthed delivery of impact-based forecasts and inadequate capacity development of climate services users to understand and use complex climate information. The study culminates in a proposed framework for the enhancement of climate services for east Africa, based on understanding gained through the study.
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    The role of values, norms and affect in relation to water-scarcity risk perceptions and water conservation behaviours in the Western Cape
    (2024) Tredoux, Aimée; Pasquini, Lorena; Enqvist, Johan; Steynor, Anna; Jack, Christopher
    The effects of accelerating climate change are already being felt globally. Sub-Saharan Africa is at high risk of extreme hydrological events, and increasingly severe and frequent droughts pose a threat to water security in the region. As the impacts of climate change are expected to increase, it is important to promote adaptation to drought events by studying the factors that can influence water saving behaviour. The present work studied how three categories of risk perception determinants namely values, social norms and affect, influenced water scarcity risk perceptions and water saving behaviour during the Western Cape drought of 2014-2017 in an urban population living in formal housing in the City of Cape Town. The outcomes of this study are two-fold. Firstly, this research provides evidence for the usefulness of a conceptual framework rooted in risk perceptions literature for understanding how affect, social norms and values fit together with risk perceptions to explain pro-environmental (water saving) behaviour. Secondly, the findings add to the literature on risk perception determinants, water scarcity risk perceptions, and water saving behaviour by showing that fear, self-transcending values, hedonism, and descriptive and prescriptive norms were important factors in shaping water scarcity risk perceptions and water conservation behaviour during the drought. In future drought contexts, the revised framework and the risk perception determinant findings could be drawn on to help understand how values, social norms and affect interact with water scarcity risk perceptions to influence water conservation behaviour.