Browsing by Author "Pauw, Kalie"

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    Economy-wide Modeling: An input into the Long Term Mitigation Scenarios process
    (University of Cape Town. Energy Research Centre, 2007) Pauw, Kalie
    The objective of this analysis is to develop a better understanding of the likely impact that various mitigation options may have on the economy in terms of GDP, employment and household welfare. As noted in the introduction, outcomes of three mitigation scenarios, Start Now, Scale Up and Use the Market, are evaluated. These mitigation scenarios are combinations of different degrees of energy efficiency that can be achieved, structural shifts in energy output mix and, in the case of the latter scenario, economic instruments used to reduce emissions. Results are compared in comparative static fashion against a ‘business as usual’ reference case called growth without constraints (GWC). This remains a scenario analysis, and by no means can we claim that results are necessarily an accurate reflection of the true outcome. Given the long time horizon and the multitude of economic variables and parameters that may change over time and impact on each other, not to mention factors external to the South Africa economy that cannot be controlled, it is unwise to have too much confidence in results. However, the exercise remains useful. We are upfront about the limitations, the assumptions and the methods used to arrive at results, and given these, the scenario analysis provides a useful starting point for policy discussions around possible outcomes under various different mitigation scenarios for South Africa.
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    Expanding the Social Security Net in South Africa: Opportunities, Challenges and Constraints
    (2007-09) Pauw, Kalie; Ncube, Liberty
    Rapid increases in government expenditure on social security between 2000 and 2006 has further increased poor households’ reliance on welfare grants and has been important in the fight against poverty. Already there is evidence of a substitution taking place within the social budget: expenditure on education and health seems to have declined in favour of increased welfare transfer expenditure.
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    Graduate Unemployment in the Context of Skills Shortages, Education and Training: Findings from a Firm Survey
    (2006-11) Pauw, Kalie; Bhorat, Haroon; Goga, Sumayya; Ncube, Liberty; Oosthuizen, Morne; van der Westhuizen, Carlene
    The paper reflects on the findings from a firm survey conducted among twenty of South Africa's largest firms across a range of sectors. The survey formed part of research conducted by the Development Policy Research Unit on graduate unemployment in South Africa.
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    Graduate Unemployment in the Face of Skill Shortages: A Labour Market Paradox
    (2006-11) Pauw, Kalie; Oosthuizen, Morne; van der Westhuizen, Carlene
    There is consensus among analysts that South Africa's unemployment is structural in the sense that the unemployed generally possess lower skills than what is required in the marketplace. In the context of increasing demand for skilled workers due to technical progress and the need to become more competitive globally, graduate unemployment would be expected to fall.
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    Graduate Unemployment in the Face of Skills: A Labour Market Paradox
    (2007-09) Pauw, Kalie; Oosthuizen, Morne; van der Westhuizen, Carlene
    This Policy Brief was compliled based on the DPRU Working Paper 06/114, Graduate Unemployment in the Face of Skills Shortages: A Labour Market Paradox researched by Kalie Pauw, Morné Oosthuizen and Carlene van der Westhuizen. The paper was commissione by Business Leadership and funded by Standard Bank.
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    The Impact of Growth and Redistribution on Poverty and Inequality in South Africa
    (2007-08) Pauw, Kalie; Ncube, Liberty
    This country study evaluates the experience of the South African economy with respect to growth, poverty and inequality trends since the advent of democracy in 1994.
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    Understanding the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Dispute Resolution System in South Africa: An Analysis of CCMA Data
    (2010-06) Bhorat, Haroon; Pauw, Kalie; Mncube, Liberty
    This Working Paper is one in a series eminating from the Critical Research Projects funded by the Department of Labour.
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    Understanding the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Dispute Resolution System in South Africa: An Analysis of CCMA Data
    (2009-07) Bhorat, Haroon; Pauw, Kalie; Mncube, Liberty
    This paper, while broadly located within reforming the labour market policy debate, is specifically focused on one aspect of the labour regulatory regime, namely the dispute resolution system. Hence, we attempt to understand the efficiency and effectiveness of the country's institutionalised dispute resolution body, the Commission for Conciliation, Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA).
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    Wage Subsidies to Combat Unemployment and Poverty: Assessing South Africa's Options
    (Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, 2015-05-28) Burns, Justine; Edwards, Lawrence; Pauw, Kalie