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Browsing Masters by Department "Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)"

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An investigation into the progression of premarital fertility since the onset of Zimbabwe's fertility transition

Author: Ngwenya, Chantelle Linda Date: 2021 Premarital fertility, that is, childbearing before first marriage, is an important yet under researched demographic topic in sub-Saharan Africa. In Zimbabwe, the distinction by marital status in fertility research is hardly drawn. Hence, a ... Read more
Analysis of the projected parity progression ratio method using two successive censuses

Author: Mutakwa, Darlington Date: 2013 The objective of this study is to assess how well the projected parity progression ratio method works when applied to two successive censuses or Demographic Health Surveys. Four countries, namely Malawi, Zimbabwe, Cambodia and Panama, each ... Read more
An assessment of the feasibility of using administrative data in producing mid-year population estimates for South Africa

Author: Hlabano, Mbongeni Charles Date: 2015 The production of mid-year population estimates is an important undertaking which informs various stakeholders in policy formation and decision making. For instance, national governments use mid-year estimates to allocate seats in parliament ... Read more
Assessment of the IGME methods of estimating infant mortality rate and neonatal mortality rate from under-five mortality rate in countries affected by HIV

Author: Ayalew, Kassahun Abere Date: 2012 This study assesses the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME) methods of estimating the infant and neonatal mortality rates from the under-five mortality rates in countries affected by HIV/AIDS. It uses Botswana, Malawi ... Read more
Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data

Author: Munjoma, Malvern Date: 2014 This dissertation investigates the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality rates from the proportion of deaths observed among births reported in a 24month period. The Blacker Brass technique is applied to all births reported ... Read more
Avoiding data mining bias when testing technical analysis strategies - a methodological study

Author: Douglas, Rowan Date: 2020 When seeking to identify a profitable technical analysis (TA) strategy, a na¨ıve investigation will compare a large number of possible strategies using the same set of historical market data. This process can give rise to a significant data ... Read more
Birth spacing and child mortality in Mozambique : evidence from two demographic and health surveys

Author: Gonçalves Sandra Dzidzai Date: 2008 This research examines child mortality risk associated with short preceding birth intervals in Mozambique in quinquennial periods between 1978 to 1998 using data from the 1997 and 2003 DHS. A log rate model for piecewise constant rates is ... Read more
Child and adult mortality in Zimbabwe, 1980-2005

Author: Marera, Double-Hugh Date: 2011 This research applies direct and indirect methods to data from censuses and Demographic and Health Surveys to derive empirical estimates of the level and trends of child and adult mortality in Zimbabwe from 1980 to 2005. Read more
Defining a sub-Saharan fertility pattern and a standard for use with the relational Gompertz model

Author: Van Gijsen, Rienier Date: 2009 The relational Gompertz model is often used to obtain fertility estimates for sub-Saharan Africa populations. This indirect estimation technique is dependent on a fertility standard - the Booth standard. This standard was developed in 1979 ... Read more
The determinants of contraceptive use in Zambia

Author: Fushayi, Nelly Date: 2011 The contraceptive prevalence rate in Zambia is high, while fertility decline is very slow. From 1992 to 2007, the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) increased from 8.9 per cent in 1992 to 32.7 per cent in 2007; while total fertility rate ... Read more
Economic evaluation of health care : cautions for the developing country context

Author: Skordis, Jolene Date: 2002 Health economics has expanded enormously as a sub-discipline in the last four decades, drawing primarily on the theoretical foundations of welfare economics. The toolkit for the economic evaluation of health care now extends from the humble ... Read more
The effect of HIV on the orphanhood method of estimating adult female mortality

Author: Kramer, Stephen Date: 2009 The orphanhood method of estimating adult mortality is widely used in developing countries. The method is subject to a number of assumptions, some of which are violated when a generalized high-prevalence HIV epidemic is present. Non-independence ... Read more
The effect of HIV/AIDS on the own child-method of estimating child mortality : Lesotho and Zimbabwe

Author: Musariri, Herbert Date: 2011 This study evaluates the overall impact of the bias due to HIV/AIDS on the own-child method of estimating child mortality, and the contribution of the various components to the overall bias. Indirect estimates of child mortality are calculated ... Read more
Environmental health hazards on under-five mortality in sub-Saharan Africa : analysis using multilevel discrete-time hazard model

Author: Engdaw, Alehegn Worku Date: 2014 Environmental health hazards are pathogens and chemicals in the environment, which can cause health problems. The importance of such environmental factors in child health and survival are acknowledged in the literature. However, empirical ... Read more
Estimating adult mortality in South Africa using information on the year-of-death of parents from the 2016 Community Survey

Author: Mambwe, Chibwe Date: In developing countries, systems that collect vital statistics are usually inadequate to facilitate the direct estimation of adult mortality. This has necessitated the development of indirect methods such as the orphanhood method. These methods ... Read more
Estimating adult mortality in South Africa using orphanhood and year of death data from the 2008 National Income Dynamics Study

Author: Kupamupindi, Takura Date: 2010 The overall objective of this research is to investigate whether using year of death data to produce estimates of time location is a better approach than the method developed by Brass and Bamgboye (1981) and whether estimates of mortality ... Read more
Estimating the level and trends of child mortality in South Africa, 1996-2006

Author: Darikwa, Timotheus Brian Date: 2009 The lack of reliable data for child mortality estimation since 1998 has meant that child mortality rates for South Africa have not been updated for almost ten years now. It is the overall aim of this research to explore the possibility of ... Read more
The estimation and interpretation of adult mortality rates of African South Africans using Census 2001 data

Author: Dobbie, Mark-Ross B Date: 2009 This research develops estimates of mortality rates for adult Africans in South Africa for the twelve months preceding the census night, 9/10 October 2Q(B, using Census 2001 10% sample data. The approach used to estimate these rates follow ... Read more
Estimation of the level and trend of adult motrality in Zambia

Author: Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe Date: 2010 The aim of this study is derive robust and reliable estimates of level and trend in adult mortality in Zambia. To derive the estimates of the level and trend in adult mortality, the study applies the following techniques: the Census Survival ... Read more
Estimation of Zimbabwean migration for the period 1992-2012

Author: Nyathi, Mothabisi Nare Date: 2021 International migration is the movement of people across national boundaries, and it is an important mechanism for globalisation and economic development. However, in third world countries, it means a large proportion of the population leaving. ... Read more

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